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misterd on 23 July 2007
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Biggerboat said:

misterd said:
The 64s solid 1st and 2nd party games kept it running neck and neck with the PSX for most of its first year. It was only after it became clear that they couldn't keep those titles coming on a regular basis, and that with FF7 the PSX had titles worth having, that the N64 dropped into its distant 2nd place finish.



With the PS3, the hope of big, proven franchise titles like MGS4 and FF13 will be marquee titles that people will want (along with top tier non-exclusives like GTA4, UT3) and get them interested in the PS3, while "second tier" non-franchise titles like Lair, Heavenly Sword and the rest (which may end up being top tier after being released) will prove a healthy enough library to finally justify investing in the system.

That's the plan, anyway. Not sure if it'll work.


I think it's pretty irrelevant whether the big AAA titles are 1st, 2nd, or 3rd party. Fact is that N64 probably had more exclusive AAA titles out after 18 months (or whenever both FF and MGS release) than PS3 will. GTA4 will help sales but overall due to the price of PS3/360 will be more damaging to Sony than helpful.

Yep. But then the PS3 isn't competing as well as the N64 was in its first year either.

As for second-tier games, all systems have a similiar amount coming out so I don't see this as a significant factor in the argument, unless you assume PS3s titles outperform their expectations and 360/Wiis underperform which is possible but highly unlikely. 

 

And that's why I'm not sure it'll work. The question is just how loyal is the Sony fanbase? They've never really been tested, and it's impossible to say whether they will jump ship to the 360/Wii, pay more than they want for the PS3, or just wait until they can afford it.