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gimmebanana said:
call me the odball but i think it will !!! seeing that u have 3 types of potential buyers

1- 7th generation gamers .
2- ps2 owners or as alotta haters like to call em "sony fanboys
3- blu ray player shoppers looking for the best deal on blu ray hardware which is the ps3

so fellow gamers dont be suprised when u see a sharp turn for the best on that sales chart sticking out from the ps3's axis in late 2009 and 2010!!!

 

I believe this is a common misconception.  There isn't an army of PS2 owners out there champing at the bit to buy a PS3 when it hits the right price point.  Most PS2 owners I know, myself included, have already purchased a PS3 or 360.  The remaining PS2 owners I know who haven't purchased a current-gen console don't appear to have a concensus on what they're going to get.  Some are planning to purchase a 360 when it hits $199.  Some are planning to purchase a PS3 when it hits $199.  Some are planning to buy a Wii when they can find one.  And some are planning to do some combination of the above.

This notion that the lion-share of PS2 owners who haven't upgraded are just waiting to get a PS3 is just that... a notion.

As far as the Blu-ray aspect, Best Buy is selling an Insignia player for $280.  Yes, it's not as nice or upgradeable as the PS3, but it doesn't take up as much space or produce as much heat and is $120 cheaper.  Expect the standalone player prices to fall rapidly as the Blu-ray player market matures.