Ya know you can go 5 years of selling less than 5 million on the market. If they are out for 10 yrs there is no requirement that they will be selling well those last 2-3 years haha.
I mean for them to have a 10 yr cycle obviously they will need to have sold well over 50 million, but we have to be realistic here. I mean Sony is coming up on the close of 2 years since the PS3's release and we still aren't at 20 million. That's suggesting less than 10 million a year which isn't enough to put it over 100 million if constants were real in stats.
More than likely the PS3 will have a normal cycle of about 6-7 years and reach sales of about 50-70 million which is definetly respectable. However there's a possibility that they could go 10 years and sell about 80-90 million but with MS really affecting them right now with the 360, ya know their inability to put them down this becomes more of a longshot. Including the first prediction.
So 150 million I think is absolutely out of the question unless some huge breakthrough happens for them this holiday season and into 2009 which is not suggestive in the market. Hell 100 million doesn't even look probable.
But getting things straight remember time is not on PS3's side here. I mean MS and Ninty will start releasing their 8th gen consoles between 2010 and 2012 and Sony will have to compete with that. And if they are not in a huge lead like PS1 and PS2 then sales will falter largely when PS4 comes out. Companies can't control the lifecycles of their products. Competition and the market control that.
