Microsoft: Digital Distribution Will Outstrip Physical Sales

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Jo21 said:

gebx said:

Jo21 said:

and people whine about sony PR.

 

i don't imagine people waiting a month to download a 25gb HD movie.

 

unless 100mbps gets pushed into the every single house in the world its not gonna happen.

i don't expect that until the next 5-10 years by the time m$ would be in their next console

 

5-10 years? So basically the same time frame its going to take Blu Ray to become the dominant format?

Or lets be optimistic and say Blu Ray is THE format in 4 years... meaning the Blu Ray would be the dominate format for a total 1-2 years until Digital Distribution is widely available to everyone? Woopee doo!

 

check the facts before jumping on a conclusion that IF, something widely 100mbps+ broadband its implement, that would be a miracle even in america.

for DVD-like movies its possible (enconded to like 700mb)... but never for HD movies that go over 15gb... it would take days to download it even at a 2mbps connection.

and even like that people would likely download HD rips of blu ray movies. :P

 

Uhm, it takes about 2.27 hours to download a 15GB file at 15Mbps which is what I have in the middle of Nebraska.  Other countries like Japan have already hit 45Mbps as the average and it would take 45 minutes at that speed.

For the record a 15GB file downloading at 2 Mbps takes just slightly more than 17 hours, not "days" like you suggest.

edit: I overestimated the time it would take for the first two examples by 33% each, made the correction