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Yes. Sony hasn't yet been courting casuals, who mostly haven't upgraded from the PS2. As we know from the PS2, casual games sell the longest. Because of the marketing, for lots of people PS3=Blu-ray, so once BR becomes standard (which WILL happen), many of them will buy a PS3. Developers will be squeezing out better graphics, physics etc. from the PS3 so Sony won't need to rush the PS4 to the market. The PS3 could well get to 150 million, although that's of course an optimistic prediction. 120 million might be more realistic.