| Impulsivity said: there is a lot of runway ahead, but the Xbox brand will never be capable of takeoff because its appeal (mainly to gamerboys without quality computers) is so narrow. 40 million this generation maybe, somewhere in the 30s (slightly better then last gen) is more likely. Nintendo and Sony have taken off in the past (and will in the future), but hell will freeze over before an Xbox sells anywhere near 100 million units. That the PS2 STILL outsells the xbox in some weeks worldwide is a sign of that. |
Xbox should easily hit 40-50 million if not more if MS plays their market right. There are still loads of people worldwide that havent experienced HD gaming due to price and for those price concious people, 360 should be their first choice as it will always be cheaper than PS3. Not to mention a better gaming library of older (cheaper) games.
Wii is selling like mad with virtually no worthwhile new software for months now... so console price does play a huge part in sales.
Also, you think there was 100 million different ps2 owners at one time? By the time PS2 hit 100 mil I am pretty sure about 10-15% were defective units...another 10-20% were people with 2 or more ps2 units and another 20% were people that wanted the slim model instead of the big fat one. The key to hitting 100 mil is to make people re-buy your console over and over.
