Bodhesatva said:
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I'm 100% in this with Bod.
Directly AFTER the price cut - the PS3 manages to sell 40k in a week. And that won't last. And you think it will sell 100k+/week for FOUR weeks straight?
I'll be honestly surprised if it gets to 200k.
People who WANT PS3 games - ALREADY HAVE A PS3. There will be about 2m PS3's in the US by the time those games hit.
And...
a) Forklore - better hope it has more impact than it did in Japan.
b) HSG5 - has this ever been a hardware pusher - in the US?? The Wii now owns the golf genre.
c) GTA, CoD, NFS - all cross platform titles. MS will push/promote the hell out of GTA. I expect 1/3rd-1/4th of sales to be for the PS3. People who buy a console for the game - will primarily buy a 360 (cheaper). And this is roughly when the 360 gets a surprise price cut - along with Halo3 release.
...
That leaves HOME & R&C. I'll wait for reviews on R&C, but initial impressions show it to be a very pretty PS2 -port title. As for HOME... if people want to buy a PS3 to "play" HOME - good luck to them ;)
...
So I'll say it again - 200k for October - not 400k. The "price cut" may even have worn off by then, might be back to $599 bundles...
Gesta Non Verba
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