sharky said:
Too bad PS3 wont have a price cut before March 31 2009 (Fiscal 2009), basically according to Sony themselves. Too bad PS3 has already lost at least 4 billion dollars in the last 2 fiscal years (3.1 billion minus whatever the PS2+PSP profited in that time) and shows no signs of profitability (haha, even when Sony fanboys have been claiming PS3 hardware is break even for ages now, but strangely no PS3 price cuts come..). Too bad Microsoft could probably drop the Pro SKU to 199 by that time and still lose less money than Sony would on PS3 at 299.
Keep dreaming though.
Heres the hard numbers, since vgchartz numbers are fabrications/ back adjusted when real data arrives: As of March 31 2008, MS had shipped to retail worldwide 19.0m 360's, Sony had shipped to retail worldwide 12.85m PS3's. Since we dont have reliable WW sales figures (and Vg chartz certainly isn't it) those are the most accurate WW numbers to concern yourself with, because the companies themselves sure as hell aren't lying, and that includes the entitre world including every tiny country that would be impossible to get accurate sales figures for. (Actually 360 can be updated to 20.3m as of June 31 since they just came out with new quarterly figures, but since Sony's June 31 figures dont come out until July 29 a few days from now, we'll ignore that).
So there you go, 360 had a ~6m unit WW lead by 3/31/08 (even though PS3 has 1/3 of the market Japan all to themselves!). The question is can PS3 overcome that? You also need to understand a few other points, Sony has projected only 10m PS3 sales in fiscal 09 (end 3/31/09). Which I believe is similar or lower than what the shipped in fiscal 08. This is basically the confirmation they wont be dropping the PS3 price, and they probably also expect 360 to drop price and eat into their sales, because thats a really low projection. I think 360 is doing a lot better in Europe than Sony fanboys say. Sony fanbboys typically lie and say 360 is being outsold 100-1 in Eu or whatever, but the last data I saw for UK from Chart Track said 360 was outselling PS3 there since GTA4 launched. Also the latest Italy sales, one of 360's worst markets, from prosugno show 360 barely behind PS3 (43k to 35k for June I think).
360 doesn't need to win Europe anyway, even losing by 50% there when combined with USA would probably be a good result and allow them to win WW. Coupled with PS3's utter and absolute failure to sell anything at all in Japan, where it is completely shunned and a huge bomb (I actually wonder if 360 wont outsell it in Japan weekly at some point).
So the bottom line is it aint over yet, disregard your stupid inflated Vgchartz figures Sony fanboys, because I only accept WW ship to retail figures from the companies themselves as accurate evidence, MS is doing better in Europe and only needs to do OK there, MS probably has a huge price cut lined up for USA soon (at least $50 maybe more) while Sony surely has none, MS has a new Halo in 2009, and so on. Mattruc's prediction is very reasonable and should at least be fun to watch imo.
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thats A really good analysis.
