FilaBrasileiro said:
Kasz216 said:
FilaBrasileiro said:
Kasz216 said:
Too soon to tell.
Blu-ray is trailing heavily behind DVD during it's first few years. Still it's doing a little better the Laserdisc in the physical media market.
It's probably doing worse then Laserdisc when you take into account expanded audience of the buisness with more DVDS sold and VOD and other services... but the Industries are really behind blu-ray and putting up a lot of propoganda because they'd like to sell their movies one more time before the switch to VOD. So it's still got a fighting chance.
You don't need broadband for VOD content... just cable.
If I had to guess... i'd expect DVD to stay ahead for a few more years... eventually with Blu-ray and VOD splitting the market for a while.
People who really care about HD and having hard copies will go with Blu-ray while most other people will go VOD. Once downloads get fast enough everywhere and they have a storage solution...
Digital Distribution will win in the end. At some places you might have to still go to a store and download what you want onto a Zipdrive type thing though.
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Do you have a link? I would like to read on that and I take it that's for America and not WW?
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Worldwide.
As of June.... Blu-ray has sold 11 Million Disks
http://www.blu-ray.com/news/?id=1355
Comparativly DVD had sold 16.3 Million disks around the same time Blu-ray and HDVD had sold a combined 8.3 million.
http://www.movieweb.com/dvd/news/20/26720.php
So... Blu-ray is at least 5.3 million discs behind.
When you realize that more discs are sold now then VHS and DVDs were when DVD was new... you see the gap is even worse.
Basically. It would be as if you had less money then someone from 1970 without even adjusting for inflation. You actually have even less money then he does. Hence why adjusting for "inflation" in the video market Blu-ray may actually be behind laserdisc.
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Thanks for the link, but Home Media Magazine (your first link) is America only, it was also expected for DVD to outpace Blu Ray (and HD DVD) while there was a format war going on.
According to these articles, Blu Ray is outpacing DVD:
http://www.videobusiness.com/article/CA6572676.html
http://www.mcvuk.com/news/30809/Blu-Ray-sales-outpacing-DVD
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I've already debunked those two articles in a previous thread. Drive adoption stats are useless when all PS3s are counted as movie players. If you do count it as suck, Blu-ray players have a worse attach rate then the PSP.
Also show me where it says it's America only? Every site i see says it's worldwide.
http://www.techpowerup.com/61987/Blu-ray_Disc_Sales_Hit_11_Million_Mark.html
Even if it were so you would have to deal with the fact that Blu-ray has been on the market for an extra year then the 16.5 figure for DVD. 1997-1998 vs 2006-2008. Up to a year advantage depending on when the first DVD player released.
The second article is just silly. 17 vs 21? What other then home movies is blu-ray used for that DVD wasn't it's first few years? Let alone dual layer machines... which means... like nothing. I mean what does dual layer have to do with total sales? If anything that has to do with nothing but PS3 games... because what else even uses dual layered discs?
That answers that article.
