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weaveworld said:

This is indeed another theory.

The current 100million ps2 owners however will not buy a new ps3 just because they can play Madden 'upgraded' , these ports are nowhere near as interesting as new games made for ps3/xbox exclusively.

I think the problem is that the PS2 is not a reliable system.  The PS3 is.  So people have either had their PS2 break or see the day coming when it will break.  These people would rather purchase a PS3 and make the jump now then buy a PS2.  While new games are better for the PS3/xbox several people are still picking up older PS2 games that they missed to wait for price drops on new games.