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DirtyP2002 said:
libellule said:
To help people understand :

online/digital distribution/vod

will not be mainstream before 3-4 years.

BR will be mainstream at, let's say, Xmas 2009.

Haha well how do you define mainstream? According to Nielsen BluRay has a marketshare of 5-7% in the US, just considering the top20 DVDs vs Top20 Blus. Would they consider all the DVDs and all the Blus it would be like 2-3% marketshare. And the US is the biggest HD market worldwide, followed by japan and Europe with a great distance.

So there might be a worldwide marketshare of 3%. That is not mainstream, this is a niche in my eyes. I don't think it will change that fast.

The Blu will never be such a great cash cow like the DVD was. There are just too many alternatives on the market. As soon as the Blu will conquer some marketshare, VoD will be on its way. like you said, in 3-4 years. Apple TV is released, Xbox Live is a great supporter of VoD, even Sony with the PSN is offering VoD right now. OF course, there is netflix, there is amazon.com and lots more.

The one won't eleminate the other. It will be like it is in the music industry right now. iTunes is the greatest music-retailer in the market. This will happen for movies,too.

 

 

 ==> sorry man but 

 - you take the PRESENT numbers to counter my claim occuring in 2 YEARS ???

that makes no sense.

Also how much market share for the digital distribution right now ???
0.01% at best ...

- WHERE, WHERE did I say BR will allow Sony to make a lot of money ???

I never said that.

I basically just said : BR is more mainstream that V.O.D particularly since HD DVD death. Except massive sales for Xmas08.



Time to Work !