Why MS did what they did at E3, Peter Moore interview

[Bodhesatva]

Dolla Dolla said:

Bodhesatva said:

misterd said:

DonWii said:
I think that we can all agree that we all expected more from E3 in general.

I'm not sure I did. New year, new format, and as far away from the next gen as possible. These are typically disappointing, and I have to think 2007 will be the most critical holiday of this generation. It's Nintendo chance to cement its position and, with the Big Three, show it can move traditional games, it's MS's chance to show it can be more than a hardcore console, and Sony's chance to show it is still relevant. Any one of them stumbles this holiday, and it will have serious ramifications next year and beyond. So everyone really sells 2007 (MS especially), but obviously we're more than halfway through 2007 so what's coming up is no suprise. The one company that really tried to push 2008 titles was Sony, and that's because their 2007 just can't compete with MS.

I think this is very true.

But doesn't that mean that Sony is in a heap o' trouble? This will be their second and, arguably, most important christmas in the PS3's lifetime. If they can't beat the 360 on a worldwide basis, does that cement a third place this gen?

I think it's very likely, yes. Obviously they're in a heap o' trouble: they occupy approximately 15 percent of the total market despite the fact that they are selling their console at a loss. Anyone who denies Sony is in trouble is being delusional.

Given that in every generation the console that was selling the best 6 months after the launches were over has ended up selling the most overall -- by a long shot -- the PS3 already has to buck very consistent historical trends to become anything more than a footnote. And we're actually 8 months in right now!

They are already in trouble, and I consider this Christmas their final shot. If they are still considerably in third this Christmas and don't show signs of catching up, I will say that the odds of their "winning" the generation are very slim (say, under 1 percent. Nothing is ever impossible, but that would be close).