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I really don't know ...

In so many ways I see it as being a lot like Nintendogs and Electroplanktin were when they were first displayed. It is such a different take on the music games we have seen before that it is difficult to get a feeling on how well it will sell. On one hand, I think there are a lot of people who are easily frustrated by the Guitar Hero and RockBand games who will buy it, people will also buy it because it has the Wii name associated with it, and people may buy it because they think it is something it isn't; at the same time, I don't see anyone who (currently) plays games like Guitar Hero or RockBand picking this up which seems like the majority of the potential userbase.