A) Metroid and Galaxy2 aren't going to increase the levels of consoles sold, they, along with many other games during Jan-Mar, will keep Wii value up like 2008 and thus enable the sales I predicted.

B) That line of logic means that a Wii sale is at the expense of a PS360 sales and so on. If that were strictly the case then Wii would not be winning right now. While *some* people choose between them, a very large portion of Wii's sales come from those who didn't even consider a PS360. Therefore, the additional games (especially NSMBWii), color, and new lower price push them into the realm of purchasing vs contemplating.

That remains to be seen. "Everyone who wants to play halo/mario/insert sony exclusive here has already bought 360/wii/ps3".

1. This cannot be taken as important without considering parts 2 and 3.

2. Sequels may not bring in tons of new people, but in combination they help keep value for the hardware up and that with a massive game like NSMB will cause many a system to sell.

3. Price isnt important, but value is. Hence why @ $250 Wii with far inferior specs and general features still outsells the PS360 regularly. It's value is percieved as greater to the general consumer. Well, the $250 valued consumers is about dried up for Wii based on its current feature set and games. So, not its time to hit the next level of consumers @ $200. Plus, there are tons who would buy it at $150 or so, that will be pushed to pay $200 given certain games, like NSMBWii.

4. Seriously, that's all you got. I put out a ton of evidence and sales facts for two generations and all you can say is "lolwut.... generally, that sums it up." Guess from your avatar and mannerisms I should have realized your level of thinking. So take a good look at my avatar and RESPECT MY AUTHORATAH!!!!!!

2. If those games aren't going to bring tons of new people, how on earth do you expect wii to sell 17 million by the end of the year?

3. That is just wishful thinking. 50$ is not that big of a deal.

4. Yes, that is all what I got. Was there something else than gross generalisation to be seen? I mean, wii hasn't been selling more than 08 this year yet you think it will because... previous consoles did that also?! lolwut.

2. COMBINATIONS OF MULTIPLE GAMES, NOT INDIVIDUALLY!! That  and price cut and black Wii and ....

3. Its a whole new level of consumer base. This will be evident a couple weeks from now.

4. Its not generalization. If I brought out the sales from the two generations before that, it would be the same for NES, SNES, GEN, PS1, N64, etc. IF there were no price cut + black wii + games(NSMBWii +others) + etc, then yes, you would have a valid point. Considering parts 1,2,3 etc, then I see this year being better overall and much better during holiday.

Black wii? Gee.. that is starting to sound a bit desperate. Let's assume that wii sells something like 200k for the weeks before the pricecut. That leaves something like 16,6 million wii's to be sold in what, 12 weeks? That is:

1,38 million wii's per week!

How many times wii has sold more than 1 million per week lifetime?

3 times!

Now when I think of it, this has to be a joke thread. Sorry, I did not see the sarcasm before this post. :P

A) But perceived value to who?  Only to Nintendo fans who already own a Wii.  Neither game has any appeal outside of the Nintendo faithful.  NSMB yes but not those two.   New major games are necessary for a system to continue to sell, but if it's only sequels coming then sales must decline.

B) I agree a large portion of Wii's sales have come from people, women especially, who would not consider PS360 BUT...  Nintendo is not offering anything this year to expand the market further, only cater to it's traditional (MoM, SMG2, NSWBW, S&P2) and already existing expanded market (WSR+, WF+, EO2).   So without any new ideas, they will continue to see declining system sales from casual/non-gamers.    Plus MS / Sony will be looking to steal away some of that market now that their prices are at a more mass market friendly range.

Iwata himself has said they need to continue to surprise or people will lose interest.   Yet we've nothing announced but sequels to existing games (Wii or DS) which is only surprising in it's lack of originality.

I thought you meant March 2011. I would be interested to see the "article" stating Galaxy 2 is basically done since I never read it.

I'm willing to bet with you that neither SMG2 or Metroid M will be released before March 2010.

I think the Christmas predictions may be a bit high. I really think that NSMBW will work its magic after the holiday season. I think the big thing this year is that the Wii will keep good sales throughout Jan-March. I don't think this will be on the levels seen previously, but is ther game can break 10million, then I think Wii sales will see a boost for a few months.

Black Wii, how many times have I heard people rebuying 360 or deliberately buying Elite primarily because it was black... colors do wonders.

From price cut to end of year there are 14 weeks or 1.2m average. Will every week break 1m? No. Will a few break 2m? sure. Btw, Wii has broken 1m per week a total of 4 times, not 3, 3 of which were last holiday in succession. Keep in mind this was when it was supply constrained. With no constraints and a lower price+more games to dramatically increase overall value, it will sell many weeks this holiday 1m+.