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The Conduit Sales Prediction

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I am really excited for this game but I can´t see it breaking 100k the first week
worldwide. 70k for America and 10k for EU is my guess. Lifetime 1 mi - 1,5 mi
which I would consider success. There will probably be no advertising to speek
of in Europe for the Conduit. Most of the sales will come from the US.



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80k-100k first week (us)

700k lifetime worldwide

btw. how many days will this game have for this month npd numbers? i hope it will show up in the top ten for this month....



40k-60k first week
700k LT



The Conduit will have an underwhelming opening, half of this site will freak out, and there will be at least five threads calling it a bomb or failure. It will continue to sell at a slow burn via word of mouth, out of the spotlight, and should end up somewhere around 1m in lifetime sales before all is said or done. We've seen this over and over again with Wii games. This pattern is so routine, I can even predict which posters on this website will be the ones spinning damage control and which ones will be waving the "bomb" label around.

It all gets so tiresome sometimes, yet there's no other good way to see what's going on in the market, unfortunately.



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End of 2008 totals: Wii 42m, 360 24m, PS3 18.5m (made Jan. 4, 2008)

Between 500,000 - 1,000,000 over the first year.



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Blacksaber said:
MontanaHatchet said:
The game received a lot more attention and hype than inFamous? Where, on the internet? I've seen commercials for The Conduit (seemed a lot like a movie trailer, kind of cheesy). I see The Conduit as the sort of game that's sales potential has been distorted by internet hype. It won't have nearly as big of a launch as some people expect, but it will have great legs.

There's a demand for shooters on the Wii. This has been shown with Red Steel, Call of Duty 3, Resident Evil 4, Call of Duty: World at War, etc. However, since shooters aren't a big genre on the Wii, it takes longer for one to grab sales than it would on the HD consoles. Word of mouth will really help The Conduit.

I could be way off, but I'm going with:

First Week: 85k America, 35k Others, 120k Worldwide

Lifetime: 1.3 million

You pretty much hit my prediction on the head only thing diffrent is I think it will have 10k more in the US first week...

This. I think that more than 150k worldwide would be splendid.



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I'm guessing 125k US first week and 50k Others. I think it will sell better than the downers try to say, but I don't think it is going to rise to heaven. Some of the signs are pointing to good sales (not talking amazon ranks, they mean nothing). This will easily outdo MadWorld and House of the Dead.



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Aiemond said:
I'm guessing 125k US first week and 50k Others. I think it will sell better than the downers try to say, but I don't think it is going to rise to heaven. Some of the signs are pointing to good sales (not talking amazon ranks, they mean nothing). This will easily outdo MadWorld and House of the Dead.

Okay, such as? I'm just curious.



 

 

MontanaHatchet said:
Aiemond said:
I'm guessing 125k US first week and 50k Others. I think it will sell better than the downers try to say, but I don't think it is going to rise to heaven. Some of the signs are pointing to good sales (not talking amazon ranks, they mean nothing). This will easily outdo MadWorld and House of the Dead.

Okay, such as? I'm just curious.

I did a tarot readin on it :P

 

No, just kidding. I think the advertising push is one sign, it has a good commercial, shown alot, to a good target demographic. The other signs really don't mean anything (seeing it out of stock a couple places, hearing anecdotes of sellouts from people), I admit, but I guess I have a gut feeling. But, I don't have anything concrete. Sorry to make you think I did.



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I predict 120-180k week one but I really hope this game sells big time and I think it's going to happen cause everyone knows the potential good wii games have in sales by the millions of mkw's sold and ssbb sold and those are good games and so is the conduit it's actually a step beyond these 2 great wii games and last time I looked cod:ww sold 1.9million and compared to the 360version the game is a joke on wii its 8players on 360 I know its much more player and the maps are bigger on 360 + there are vehicles on the 360 version and there isn't any on the wii version plus dlc no dlc on wii and all kinds of awasome dlc on 360 the wii's cod5 was a ps2 port and alot of real wii fps fans know this and I know alot more people who were waiting on the conduit then cod5 so I didn't hear all that much excitement about ppl wanting to buy cod5 but I probably heard just as much if not more for the conduit then MARIO CART WII hopefully this game will show just how much every 3rd party company has neglected almost half of all the video game fans there really is........... the 1st 3rd party company that didn't shit all over every wii owner and sega is guilty of there ps2 ports two............