@ WiteoutKing

I think there's a good possibility for the Nintendo DS to outsell the PS2, but I don't consider handhelds and home consoles to be direct competitors (I myself expect much more from a home console regarding audio and visual output).

The reason why I think there's a good possibility is that for example I and my girlfriend both own a Nintendo DS, but we wouldn't buy two seperate PS2s or PS3s for just within one home. I think it would make more sense to just buy an additional controller for multi-player fun or maybe eventually a PSP for the PS3 if some interesting PS3 games in the future support the PS3's remote play feature (you can have an additional dedicated screen this way).

Doubt it, wii price point is its big advantage. But the others will/are coming down in price. Unless the market has expended that much which i doubt it has. Theres also no way wii will be sold for 7 years, wii2 will come much sooner then that.


Any one have an idea what the PS2 is projected to top out at ? 130/140 million ?

I find it almost impossible for any system to ever pass the PS2, the PS2 had no one to challenge it. The sales of the 360/PS3 will be more then xbox/GC, which will stop the wii form ever getting close to the PS2 numbers, plus the PS2 had so much third party support compared to the xbox/GC, the wii does not have that power over the 360/PS3. With all the major game companies making the 360/PS3 the main system to develop for.

Hus said: Doubt it, wii price point is its big advantage. But the others will/are coming down in price. Unless the market has expended that much which i doubt it has. Theres also no way wii will be sold for 7 years, wii2 will come much sooner then that. Any one have an idea what the PS2 is projected to top out at ? 130/140 million ?

 it has already been proven the market has expanded due to nintendo, and this will be increasing even more in the upcoming years.

 the real thing is, we can't tell, just guess.

Neos said: Hus said: Doubt it, wii price point is its big advantage. But the others will/are coming down in price. Unless the market has expended that much which i doubt it has. Theres also no way wii will be sold for 7 years, wii2 will come much sooner then that. Any one have an idea what the PS2 is projected to top out at ? 130/140 million ? it has already been proven the market has expanded due to nintendo, and this will be increasing even more in the upcoming years. the real thing is, we can't tell, just guess.

Was there not some article that said 90% of wii owners had previously owned a console ?

WiteoutKing said: I won't repost my whole sig (it would be pointless), but after crunching the numbers for the last two weeks, I would like to direct people's attention to the last few bits about the Wii crossing the PS2. Particularly this part:

 Not a chance in hell.  The PS, when it came out, was graphically quite powerful given the technology of the generation.  Also included was the strong support of EA not to mention the DVD player inside it than many bought for having that as well.  The Wii, while innovative, does not have anything in it that is "cutting edge" and therefore isn't going to have the same shelf life.

The bottom line is that the Wii probably has a 4-5 year shelf life tops and I highly expect it will hit, at max, 50% of the lifetime sales of the PS2.

 

Not likely - The Wii won't expand the market enough (imho) to account for the fact that there are many who prefer PS3/360......both will do better than Gamcube and Xbox did against PS2.

Nope, there is a low chance of the Wii outselling the PS2...

I doubt it. The race will be much closer this time than last. It seems almost pointless to argue as well. In sports terms debating wether someone will be in the "Hall of Fame" after they played in their first half of the season. for the Wii to pass the PS2 the number of homes with a gaming system will have to double.

its a possibility tho... and the current sales figures are encouraging...