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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predictions - When Will PS3 overtake 360 WW?

AaronSOLDIER on 23 February 2009
Jereel Hunter said:
AaronSOLDIER said:
And this is why I never post - the amount of fanboyism on here is pathetic!

Its a prediction - learn to respect that whether you agree or disagree FFS

 

It's not fanboyism. It's just that your prediction assumes that the PS3 will suddenly start outselling the 360 by 800,000 a month starting.... NOW. Considering it's not even selling 800,000 a month, period... outselling by that much seems rather... fanboyish.

 

He thought you were joking because making a Q4 2009 prediction for PS3 to overtake the 360 is like predicting the Detroit Lions to go undefeated this year. Some predictions are valid, and some are validly laughable...

Well my prediction is not completely off - doing so simple calculations:

 

PS3 is selling roughly 130K a week >> 520K a month ish. Now thats without any huge game releases, any amount of a price cut, no holiday season etc.

 

So when it does get its big hitters like FF13 in Japan (which is guarenteed to be big), Killzone 2 just around the corner (we'll see how this does) and Yakuza 3 in just a couple of days too, we should see some improvement. Also take into account that there are the Biohazard 5 and Yakuza 3 bundles which should do well in Japan. And if God of War 3 comes out this year - it'll likely be near christmas and will likely getting its own bundle too. Look at the Advent Children PS3 bundle - it sold out almost immediately. Wait for the FF13 bundle.

 

All this + a price cut no matter how big, the PS3 begin to outsell 360. It may not be on my prediction, but it certainly wont be long after.

 



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AaronSOLDIER on 23 February 2009
Dark Chaos said:
AaronSOLDIER said:
And this is why I never post - the amount of fanboyism on here is pathetic!

Its a prediction - learn to respect that whether you agree or disagree FFS

 

This is not a prediction. A prediction is logical and has some sense behind it. This is a SONY fanboy's wet dream

 

No its not, same can be said about:

 

"OMG LOLZ TEH PS3 IS A FLOPZOR ITLL NEVER REACH 25 MIL LOLOLOLOL"

 

I actually saw on a forum ages ago - people were doubting the PS3 crossing 10 million - people like you most likely.



jagenjg on 23 February 2009

I really don't know how to vote on this. Personally, I don't think it will ever happen.

If the PS3 ever passes the 360 in total sales it will be because of attrition. Not because of games/exclusives. MGS4 only gave the sales numbers a hiccup.

It will be quite some time after the next Xbox (720) is released. So put me down for Q3 of 2013 (total guess). Because Sony has deep pockets and will not stand for their beloved PlayStation to be out done by the Xbox. Even if it takes 10 years.



Consoles: Atari 5200, NES, SNES, N64, Dreamcast, PS2, Gamecube, Wii, Xbox 360, PS3

Jereel Hunter on 23 February 2009
AaronSOLDIER said:
Jereel Hunter said:
AaronSOLDIER said:
And this is why I never post - the amount of fanboyism on here is pathetic!

Its a prediction - learn to respect that whether you agree or disagree FFS

 

It's not fanboyism. It's just that your prediction assumes that the PS3 will suddenly start outselling the 360 by 800,000 a month starting.... NOW. Considering it's not even selling 800,000 a month, period... outselling by that much seems rather... fanboyish.

 

He thought you were joking because making a Q4 2009 prediction for PS3 to overtake the 360 is like predicting the Detroit Lions to go undefeated this year. Some predictions are valid, and some are validly laughable...

Well my prediction is not completely off - doing so simple calculations:

 

PS3 is selling roughly 130K a week >> 520K a month ish. Now thats without any huge game releases, any amount of a price cut, no holiday season etc.

 

So when it does get its big hitters like FF13 in Japan (which is guarenteed to be big), Killzone 2 just around the corner (we'll see how this does) and Yakuza 3 in just a couple of days too, we should see some improvement. Also take into account that there are the Biohazard 5 and Yakuza 3 bundles which should do well in Japan. And if God of War 3 comes out this year - it'll likely be near christmas and will likely getting its own bundle too. Look at the Advent Children PS3 bundle - it sold out almost immediately. Wait for the FF13 bundle.

 

All this + a price cut no matter how big, the PS3 begin to outsell 360. It may not be on my prediction, but it certainly wont be long after.

 

These were the same arguments being used last year for when a price cut + MGS4 and other releases would be the demise of the Xbox. Since then, the 360 has padded its lead by 2 million. PS3's "big hitters" have created small bumps at best, and these predictions seem to assume that Microsoft is going to say "ho-hum, Sony's catching up. Lets sit on our hands an watch... and not release any games."

And even with a major ($100) price cut, even if the PS3 starts outsetting the 360 right away, it WILL be long after. even if the PS3 tripled it's current sales, and the 360 stayed flat, it would take almost 3 years to catch up.



AaronSOLDIER on 23 February 2009
Jereel Hunter said:
AaronSOLDIER said:
Jereel Hunter said:
AaronSOLDIER said:
And this is why I never post - the amount of fanboyism on here is pathetic!

Its a prediction - learn to respect that whether you agree or disagree FFS

 

It's not fanboyism. It's just that your prediction assumes that the PS3 will suddenly start outselling the 360 by 800,000 a month starting.... NOW. Considering it's not even selling 800,000 a month, period... outselling by that much seems rather... fanboyish.

 

He thought you were joking because making a Q4 2009 prediction for PS3 to overtake the 360 is like predicting the Detroit Lions to go undefeated this year. Some predictions are valid, and some are validly laughable...

Well my prediction is not completely off - doing so simple calculations:

 

PS3 is selling roughly 130K a week >> 520K a month ish. Now thats without any huge game releases, any amount of a price cut, no holiday season etc.

 

So when it does get its big hitters like FF13 in Japan (which is guarenteed to be big), Killzone 2 just around the corner (we'll see how this does) and Yakuza 3 in just a couple of days too, we should see some improvement. Also take into account that there are the Biohazard 5 and Yakuza 3 bundles which should do well in Japan. And if God of War 3 comes out this year - it'll likely be near christmas and will likely getting its own bundle too. Look at the Advent Children PS3 bundle - it sold out almost immediately. Wait for the FF13 bundle.

 

All this + a price cut no matter how big, the PS3 begin to outsell 360. It may not be on my prediction, but it certainly wont be long after.

 

These were the same arguments being used last year for when a price cut + MGS4 and other releases would be the demise of the Xbox. Since then, the 360 has padded its lead by 2 million. PS3's "big hitters" have created small bumps at best, and these predictions seem to assume that Microsoft is going to say "ho-hum, Sony's catching up. Lets sit on our hands an watch... and not release any games."

And even with a major ($100) price cut, even if the PS3 starts outsetting the 360 right away, it WILL be long after. even if the PS3 tripled it's current sales, and the 360 stayed flat, it would take almost 3 years to catch up.

 

And the reason for all this was because the 360 got a price cut. If it hadnt, PS3 may only be about 3 million behind the 360 right now. So if Sony starts getting close again, maybe we can expect another one



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SleepWaking on 23 February 2009
AaronSOLDIER said:
Jereel Hunter said:
AaronSOLDIER said:
Jereel Hunter said:
AaronSOLDIER said:
And this is why I never post - the amount of fanboyism on here is pathetic!

Its a prediction - learn to respect that whether you agree or disagree FFS

 

It's not fanboyism. It's just that your prediction assumes that the PS3 will suddenly start outselling the 360 by 800,000 a month starting.... NOW. Considering it's not even selling 800,000 a month, period... outselling by that much seems rather... fanboyish.

 

He thought you were joking because making a Q4 2009 prediction for PS3 to overtake the 360 is like predicting the Detroit Lions to go undefeated this year. Some predictions are valid, and some are validly laughable...

Well my prediction is not completely off - doing so simple calculations:

 

PS3 is selling roughly 130K a week >> 520K a month ish. Now thats without any huge game releases, any amount of a price cut, no holiday season etc.

 

So when it does get its big hitters like FF13 in Japan (which is guarenteed to be big), Killzone 2 just around the corner (we'll see how this does) and Yakuza 3 in just a couple of days too, we should see some improvement. Also take into account that there are the Biohazard 5 and Yakuza 3 bundles which should do well in Japan. And if God of War 3 comes out this year - it'll likely be near christmas and will likely getting its own bundle too. Look at the Advent Children PS3 bundle - it sold out almost immediately. Wait for the FF13 bundle.

 

All this + a price cut no matter how big, the PS3 begin to outsell 360. It may not be on my prediction, but it certainly wont be long after.

 

These were the same arguments being used last year for when a price cut + MGS4 and other releases would be the demise of the Xbox. Since then, the 360 has padded its lead by 2 million. PS3's "big hitters" have created small bumps at best, and these predictions seem to assume that Microsoft is going to say "ho-hum, Sony's catching up. Lets sit on our hands an watch... and not release any games."

And even with a major ($100) price cut, even if the PS3 starts outsetting the 360 right away, it WILL be long after. even if the PS3 tripled it's current sales, and the 360 stayed flat, it would take almost 3 years to catch up.

 

And the reason for all this was because the 360 got a price cut. If it hadnt, PS3 may only be about 3 million behind the 360 right now. So if Sony starts getting close again, maybe we can expect another one

Sigh I really hoped you were joking

 



AaronSOLDIER on 23 February 2009
SleepWaking said:
AaronSOLDIER said:
Jereel Hunter said:
AaronSOLDIER said:
Jereel Hunter said:
AaronSOLDIER said:
And this is why I never post - the amount of fanboyism on here is pathetic!

Its a prediction - learn to respect that whether you agree or disagree FFS

 

It's not fanboyism. It's just that your prediction assumes that the PS3 will suddenly start outselling the 360 by 800,000 a month starting.... NOW. Considering it's not even selling 800,000 a month, period... outselling by that much seems rather... fanboyish.

 

He thought you were joking because making a Q4 2009 prediction for PS3 to overtake the 360 is like predicting the Detroit Lions to go undefeated this year. Some predictions are valid, and some are validly laughable...

Well my prediction is not completely off - doing so simple calculations:

 

PS3 is selling roughly 130K a week >> 520K a month ish. Now thats without any huge game releases, any amount of a price cut, no holiday season etc.

 

So when it does get its big hitters like FF13 in Japan (which is guarenteed to be big), Killzone 2 just around the corner (we'll see how this does) and Yakuza 3 in just a couple of days too, we should see some improvement. Also take into account that there are the Biohazard 5 and Yakuza 3 bundles which should do well in Japan. And if God of War 3 comes out this year - it'll likely be near christmas and will likely getting its own bundle too. Look at the Advent Children PS3 bundle - it sold out almost immediately. Wait for the FF13 bundle.

 

All this + a price cut no matter how big, the PS3 begin to outsell 360. It may not be on my prediction, but it certainly wont be long after.

 

These were the same arguments being used last year for when a price cut + MGS4 and other releases would be the demise of the Xbox. Since then, the 360 has padded its lead by 2 million. PS3's "big hitters" have created small bumps at best, and these predictions seem to assume that Microsoft is going to say "ho-hum, Sony's catching up. Lets sit on our hands an watch... and not release any games."

And even with a major ($100) price cut, even if the PS3 starts outsetting the 360 right away, it WILL be long after. even if the PS3 tripled it's current sales, and the 360 stayed flat, it would take almost 3 years to catch up.

 

And the reason for all this was because the 360 got a price cut. If it hadnt, PS3 may only be about 3 million behind the 360 right now. So if Sony starts getting close again, maybe we can expect another one

Sigh I really hoped you were joking

 

 

And I really hope you're not as stupid as you are being on here



gebx on 23 February 2009
AaronSOLDIER said:
SleepWaking said:
AaronSOLDIER said:
Jereel Hunter said:
AaronSOLDIER said:
Jereel Hunter said:
AaronSOLDIER said:

 

 

 

 

 

 

And I really hope you're not as stupid as you are being on here

Even though it was wrong for him to laugh at your prediction, he's not wrong about it being crazy..

Just do the math.. use a little logic, you'll see that Q4 for 2009 is close to impossible. 

Also stop reinforcing the stereotype that PS3 fanboys insult when the truth smacks them in the head.



Proud Member of GAIBoWS (Gamers Against Irrational Bans of Weezy & Squilliam)

                   

SleepWaking on 23 February 2009
gebx said:
AaronSOLDIER said:
SleepWaking said:
AaronSOLDIER said:
Jereel Hunter said:
AaronSOLDIER said:
Jereel Hunter said:
AaronSOLDIER said:

 

 

 

 

 

 

And I really hope you're not as stupid as you are being on here

Even though it was wrong for him to laugh at your prediction, he's not wrong about it being crazy..

Just do the math.. use a little logic, you'll see that Q4 for 2009 is close to impossible. 

Also stop reinforcing the stereotype that PS3 fanboys insult when the truth smacks them in the head.

 

I wasn't laughing at his prediction. I just hoped he would have some sense of reality.



waron on 23 February 2009

considering actual situation i guess most of us were mistaken. either it will never happen or it will be between 2012 and 2013, but then we should see xbox 3 so it will be over already.