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Forums - Sales Discussion - Year end NPD predictions

Miyamotoo on 24 November 2018
Kerotan said:
Miyamotoo said:

Yeah but he also said "I wouldn't take Switch up YoY as gospel. The other 2 yes".  All points that Switch having much stronger November than last year (and that was expected because Pokemon Lets Go launch and Black Friday deal) 1.2-1.3m is very possible, even 1.5m isnt out of reach.

Switch was low last November so being up a lot YOY is expected. 

Well your friend here until recently was saying that Switch will be flat in November and December compared to last year.



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Kerotan on 24 November 2018
Miyamotoo said:
Kerotan said:

Switch was low last November so being up a lot YOY is expected. 

Well your friend here until recently was saying that Switch will be flat in November and December compared to last year.

He's your friend too. You talk to him way more then I do. 



quickrick on 24 November 2018
Miyamotoo said:
Kerotan said:

Switch was low last November so being up a lot YOY is expected. 

Well your friend here until recently was saying that Switch will be flat in November and December compared to last year.

switch is gonna be way up november as NPD will be tracking more days and include cyber monday which is huge. i was think it would be flat for the year, not so sure, well have to wait for the full holiday results.



Miyamotoo on 24 November 2018
Kerotan said:
Miyamotoo said:

Well your friend here until recently was saying that Switch will be flat in November and December compared to last year.

He's your friend too. You talk to him way more then I do. 

No, I arguing with him and disagree almost hole time, on other hand you very often agree with him and you think that you are on same side, you even wrote "Welcome back Rick. The needed a new target. I held the torch as best I could!".

quickrick said:
Miyamotoo said:

Well your friend here until recently was saying that Switch will be flat in November and December compared to last year.

switch is gonna be way up november as NPD will be tracking more days and include cyber monday which is huge. i was think it would be flat for the year, not so sure, well have to wait for the full holiday results.

Yeah, that will be reason why Switch will be up this November, it doesn't have anything with point that this November Switch has Pokemon, Black Friday MK8D bundle and plenty of bundles while last November didnt had nothing. :D



Kerotan on 24 November 2018
Miyamotoo said:
Kerotan said:

He's your friend too. You talk to him way more then I do. 

No, I arguing with him and disagree almost hole time, on other hand you very often agree with him and you think that you are on same side, you even wrote "Welcome back Rick. The needed a new target. I held the torch as best I could!".

quickrick said:

switch is gonna be way up november as NPD will be tracking more days and include cyber monday which is huge. i was think it would be flat for the year, not so sure, well have to wait for the full holiday results.

Yeah, that will be reason why Switch will be up this November, it doesn't have anything with point that this November Switch has Pokemon, Black Friday MK8D bundle and plenty of bundles while last November didnt had nothing. :D

Lol are you serious? I was obviously joking. Lighten up. 



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Mbolibombo on 24 November 2018
quickrick said:
Mbolibombo said:
November PS4 is going to kill it, I dont think 2M will be reached but very very close to. Switch will also be up by a considerable amount. As for December I think PS4 will suffer a wee bit after having such a terrific deal in November but still good month due to December and all.. Switch is looking for the best December this gen by a huge margin. Smash pre-orders are crazy and it is going to drive hardware like nothing else this year. Also the good WoM for Pokemon certainly helps.

Nov:
PS4 - 1.9
NSW - 1.3
Xbox - 1.1

Dec
PS4 - 1.1
NSW - 2.2
Xbox - 1.3

PS4 and Switch with pretty much identical YTD when all is said and done.

Switch has to hit 5.3 for you to win the bet.

Well 5.21 would be enough ;P but doesnt matter, it's going to hit 5.3 :>



Miyamotoo on 25 November 2018



A few thoughts on holiday weekend
- PS4 shipments are going to hold the console back from having huge growth YoY. Should still be best selling console
- Switch growth is extraordinary and will far surpass last years performance
- Xbox may be down YoY but still did solid



Farsala on 25 November 2018

Nov
PS4-1.4 million
NSW-1.2 million
XBO-1.05 million

Dec
PS4-1.3 million
NSW-1.8 million
XBO-1.2 million



zorg1000 on 25 November 2018
Farsala said:
Nov
PS4-1.4 million
NSW-1.2 million
XBO-1.05 million

Dec
PS4-1.3 million
NSW-1.8 million
XBO-1.2 million

What makes you think PS4 will be down YoY in November but up in December? I would assume the opposite.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Farsala on 25 November 2018
zorg1000 said:
Farsala said:
Nov
PS4-1.4 million
NSW-1.2 million
XBO-1.05 million

Dec
PS4-1.3 million
NSW-1.8 million
XBO-1.2 million

What makes you think PS4 will be down YoY in November but up in December? I would assume the opposite.

I think the stock allocation will be similar. And PS4 had its biggest October, which may lead to less stock for November. As for December, I think Sony will try a bit harder this time.

Edit: Oh and CoD moved from November to October.