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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

11/30/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 15 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 26 (-5) - 263.90$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman Bundle - 33 (+4) - 327.68$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon Mario Kart 8 Bundle - 62 (-7) - 419.00$
6 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 68 (+1) - 299.99$
7 (+1) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 77 (-6) - 258.00$
8 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb - 87 (-13) - 452.70$
9 (-3) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield 5 Bundle - 94 (-31) - 284.00$

Out of Top 100 :

10 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 90 (-27) - 299.99$

PS4 : 86 + 33 = 119 points (-2) ; XBO : 100 + 24 + 14 + 7 = 145 point (-60) ; NS : 200 + 140 + 39 = 379 points (-7)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 4 (-2) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 7 (-2) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 11 (+1) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 28 (-2) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 58 (+1) - 499.99$
7 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 77 (-1) - 299.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 87 (-4) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 + 180 + 24 = 414 points (-11) ; XBO : 96 + 43 + 14 = 153 points (-7) ; NS : 195 + 160 = 355 points (-5)


- Gamestop :

1 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 7 (+8)
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 21 (+93)
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 24 (+101)
4 (R) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 74 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

1 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 13 (+1)

PS4 : 195 + 160 = 355 points (+136) ; XBO : 0 points (-180) ; NS : 155 + 78 = 233 points (+195)

Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 1019.3 points (+188.4) ; Month Average : 1307.9 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 239.2 points (-298.2) ; Month Average : 687.2 points/day ; 0.53 (-)
3 - PS4 : 533.0 points (+132.2) ; Month Average : 470.0 points/day ; 0.36 (+0.01)



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Prices back to normal and without any deals, the domination of PS4 at best buy and Gamestop is impressive. Are people waiting for the next deals to buy Switches ?



globalisateur said:

Prices back to normal and without any deals, the domination of PS4 at best buy and Gamestop is impressive. Are people waiting for the next deals to buy Switches ?

Especially when you consider SMASH is next week and some are predicting Switch to easily break 2 million and possibly outsell PS4 and X1 combined.  Would think it would dominate every chart for the whole month.  November NPD will give a better indication of what will happen in December though.  

 

Also thanks to  Symbios63 for keeping this thread going strong.  Great work.  We appreciate your time and dedication.



Mar1217 said:
gtjay1982 said:

Especially when you consider SMASH is next week and some are predicting Switch to easily break 2 million and possibly outsell PS4 and X1 combined.  Would think it would dominate every chart for the whole month.  November NPD will give a better indication of what will happen in December though.  

 

Also thanks to  Symbios63 for keeping this thread going strong.  Great work.  We appreciate your time and dedication.

But we already know B&M sales completly skew the results during this period of the year, so the results aren't really accurate until we go back to the non-holiday period in January.

Switch and Xbox were dominating online during BF and CM. It's just that B&M sales were much more favorable for PS4 and not tracked by this tool. There is no reason suddenly B&M sales would be much more favorable to XB and SW, quite the contrary. 



12/01/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 16 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman Bundle - 32 (+1) - 327.68$
4 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 35 (-9) - 263.90$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon Mario Kart 8 Bundle - 70 (-8) - 419.00$
6 (+1) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 87 (-10) - 258.00$
7 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb - 99 (-12) - 452.70$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 68 (+1) - 299.99$
9 (-3) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield 5 Bundle - 94 (-31) - 284.00$

PS4 : 88 points (-31) ; XBO : 82 + 14 + 2 = 98 point (-47) ; NS : 200 + 135 + 31 = 366 points (-13)


- Best Buy :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 1 (+3) - 299.99$
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 3 (-2) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 6 (+1) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 11 (-) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 28 (-) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 53 (+5) - 499.99$
7 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 97 (-10) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 77 (-1) - 299.99$

PS4 : 200 + 185 = 385 points (-29) ; XBO : 96 + 48 + 4 = 148 points (-5) ; NS : 210 + 160 = 370 points (+15)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 10 (-3)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 24 (-3)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 26 (-2)
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 66 (+8)

Out of Top 100 :

1 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 13 (+1)

PS4 : 190 + 155 = 345 points (-10) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 150 + 86 = 236 points (+3)

Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 1014.9 points (-4.4) ; Month Average : 1298.0 points/day ; 1.0
2 - XBO : 189.2 points (-50.0) ; Month Average : 670.0 points/day ; 0.52 (-0.01)
3 - PS4 : 492.4 points (-40.6) ; Month Average : 470.7 points/day ; 0.36 (-)

Is that the last day for November NPD ?



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Yes, today is the last day for November NPD.



12/02/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 17 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 39 (-4) - TP
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman Bundle - 47 (-15) - TP
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon Mario Kart 8 Bundle - 86 (-16) - TP
6 (R) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 92 (R) - 399.99$
7 (-1) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 97 (-10) - 239.99$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb - 99 (-12) - 452.70$

PS4 : 58 + 9 = 67 points (-21) ; XBO : 74 + 4 = 78 point (-20) ; NS : 200 + 130 + 15 = 345 points (-21)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 2 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 5 (+1) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 9 (+2) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 27 (+1) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 53 (-) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

7 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft Bundle - 97 (-10) - 299.99$

PS4 : 205 + 190 = 395 points (+10) ; XBO : 98 + 48 = 146 points (-2) ; NS : 210 + 170 = 380 points (+10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 14 (-4)
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 27 (-1)
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 31 (-7)
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 68 (-2)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 180 + 135 = 315 points (-30) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 145 + 84 = 229 points (-7)

Overall :

1 - NS : 581.0 points (-) ; Month Average : 581.0 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 447.6 points (-) ; Month Average : 447.6 points/day ; 0.77 (-)
3 - XBO : 119.1 points (-) ; Month Average : 119.1 points/day ; 0.20 (-)



The XB1 dropped hard.



jason1637 said:
The XB1 dropped hard.

It should recover, Best Buy currently has $50 off on all XBO systems.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
jason1637 said:
The XB1 dropped hard.

It should recover, Best Buy currently has $50 off on all XBO systems.

It's also available pretty much everywhere. But that doesn't help much. They need at least $100 off to boost their sales.