Insidb said:
Miyamotoo said:
1) I said around and at least 6 (around 2m, and at least 3m), it doesn't really matter if its 9.7m or 10m exactly, that still around 10m this year. Like, I wrote, we already seeing increase shipments of Switch, and how times goes shipments will be only bigger because increased manufacturer.
2) No, Wii U is terrible for comparison because we talking about failed console and worst selling Nintendo console ever. Wii U was sold out only in first two weeks during holiday season, that doesn't mean nothing, shortly after that Wii U was actually overshiped and that's why in Europe for instance Wii U later had negative shipment.
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1) Look up: Switch will easily hit 10m at end of this year
2) To date, the WiiU has sold 3X units as the Switch, so it's still possible that the Switch could sell 9.2M more units and stop. Is that likely? No, not at all. When it launched it sold out and had a period where demand outstripped supply. The comparison, however, relates to a console that has met the demand and cannot increase sales through new releases (WiiU/X1). We don't know when the Switch will get there and we have to wait for it not to be perpetually sold out, so a baseline can be established. Once established, "system sellers" will be very easily identified.
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1) I was very clear, it if its selle 9.7m instead of 10m, doesnt relly matters, 300k doesnt make any difrence. In any case, currently all points that Switch without any problems will hit 10m+ at end of this year.
2) Again, Wii U was outsold just first 2 weeks during holiday season, shortly after that Wii U was actually overshiped and that's why in Europe for instance Wii U later had negative shipment. Switch sold more units in 4 month, without holiday season and with huge supply problems, than Wii U sold in 11 months. Switch will probably pass Wii U lt numbers just after 1st year on market. When demand is not meet yet, that demand for console is increasing with every new system seller game, and Splatoon 2 is system seller game, and especially Mario Odyssey, and demand will be increased during holiday season in any case.
DialgaMarine said:
Possible, but I still think it depends heavily, not only on stock, but also how well people take the fact that Switch is pretty much getting ONLY Mario this holiday, and not the AAA heavy hitters, as well the more powerful consoles, that ARE getting these game, being significantly cheaper. You can't keep ignoring the lack of AAA third party support and pretending that it won't be an issue for the device in the long run.
It will do we'll in Japan, no matter what, but in Europe it's already fallen pretty heavily (there's zero stock problems there). The US will be the determining factor, but seeing as those AAA third party games will garner far more attention than SMO, I can't say with confidence that the Switch will do as well here as people think. |
First, Switch demand is not yet meet, and of course demand in holiday season will be much more stronger in any case, espacily with huge system seller game like Mario Odyssey game, and Zelda BotW, MK8D and Splatoon2 will be contine to be big system seller games in future also. Second, Mario Odyssey is not only Switch holiday game, but of course its strongest. Switch offers different experience and different type of games compared to other console on market, so it will be selling great (and thats reason why currently is selling great also), despite other consoles on market.
Thats not true Switch is selling pretty good in Europe, fact that Switch doesn't have huge supply problems in Europe like it has in Japan and US doesn't mean that is selling bad. Switch doesn't have stock problems in Europe like it has in Japan and US, but its not still normal available, fact that very often most of Europe Amazons don't have Switch available proves that. AAA third party games dont sell Switch, Switch is selling great because of great concept and great Nintendo games, that follows great marketing and branding, in those points Switch is very similar to Wii.
