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That work. I will give more time again for Clyde.



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First, attention directed to this post:

Clyde32 said:
For me I like to play different each game with a heavy focus on one strategy and see if it works. In doing this I have hope that in the future I can integrate every strategy as the situation calls for it. 

For context on what I'm employing this game, in the last game I played I was the town cop. I investigated someone and they turned up innocent. I figured I could get a lead if I threw that person under the bus and saw what everyone's reactions would be. Theoretically I could gauge what people's reactions are, with the scum acting differently than the town. I didn't get a chance to employ that tactic because a new lead surfaced(Ironically enough the person I investigated happened to be a Godfather). But it begged the question to me of if it would actually work. 

That's where this game comes in. In order for soemthing like this to work, you need to throw someone under the bus who you know their alignment. In this game I only know my own alignment. Prof's analysis, while weak in some areas, provided a very good opportunity that I was hoping for. Some people responded to it right away, while others required additional prodding. One person who I noticed wasn't saying anything about it was Darwin, who I prodded by throwing a vote on to him. His reaction was quite good, and has a lot of cause for me to suspect him. In day 1 he claimed he read all the big posts and skimmed the small posts, yet from what I gathered he may as well have skipped Prof's analysis entirely. Final-Fan's reaction is a bit iffy. I figured a Darwin flip would help identify that though, considering I saw instances of FF trying to divert attention away from Darwin earlier in the game. 

I think I may have stayed in too long, however, as Final-Fan suggested that Mr. P may have been trying out the same thing. Which leads to the back up plan I had that, once again, Prof provided a good angle for me to approach from. I've been high on the topics of discussion for the past 5 days. Any information that I could find is already out there that my flip would help others look for. 

As far as other things I've noticed, I'm still a bit iffy on Prof's early Day 2 activity. He jumped on my "slip"(Which was really just a spur of the moment suggestion brought on by wishful thinking more than anything else) very fast and outright disregarded anything I had to say about it. He also cracked very early under a small amount of pressure which lead to his "reveal". I believe he was lying in the reveal, but whether that is just to keep his role under wraps remains to be seen.

Earlier I had it in my mind that it was unlikely that all three of the major topic lurkers could be scum. These three being myself, Darwin and Noctis, though I could argue Mr. P in there as well. Probabilities mean nothing in a game where roles were randomized, but I figured there was one of the three that was scum and based on the reaction I got from Darwin I figured it was him, though with Noctis now talking he could be a potential suspect. 

Anyway I could go more in depth with this plan and two others I set in motion in the dead chat. 



Sorry for the bold. My bad.



Clyde32 said:

Prof's analysis, while weak in some areas, provided a very good opportunity that I was hoping for. Some people responded to it right away, while others required additional prodding. One person who I noticed wasn't saying anything about it was Darwin, who I prodded by throwing a vote on to him. His reaction was quite good, and has a lot of cause for me to suspect him. In day 1 he claimed he read all the big posts and skimmed the small posts, yet from what I gathered he may as well have skipped Prof's analysis entirely. Final-Fan's reaction is a bit iffy. I figured a Darwin flip would help identify that though, considering I saw instances of FF trying to divert attention away from Darwin earlier in the game.

I think I may have stayed in too long, however, as Final-Fan suggested that Mr. P may have been trying out the same thing. Which leads to the back up plan I had that, once again, Prof provided a good angle for me to approach from. I've been high on the topics of discussion for the past 5 days. Any information that I could find is already out there that my flip would help others look for. 

Anyway I could go more in depth with this plan and two others I set in motion in the dead chat. 

Would you care to address prof's post now and show which areas are weak?

What do you make of FF being on darwin today?

Are you saying your backup plan is the information town gains from your lynch? If so, seeing as you already know the result, where do you think town should go? Besides darwin of course.

You set two other plans in motion this game? Why not discuss as well as go further in depth about your plan now, while it's potentially useful.

Lastly, I notice you have a lack of town reads.



You say day 1 darwin said he read all the big posts yet seemed to skip profs big analysis, but how can you make an opinion like that on day 1 when I made that post on day 2?



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To me that post just comes off as, "people suspect me, but that was my plan all along".
So it was your plan to contribute nothing and hold all your cards to your chest? And basically be scummy?
Where was your contributions against darwin earlier? Where was your, "aha" moment?
You've basically only said that you suspect darwin, haven't done anything about it until you were asked specifically to put a vote down.
You say you suspect me as your second, which I find laughable, because now I think you're 0 for 2 as well as lurking. (Though darwin still may be scum. But looking less likely).

I'm really confused as to what your plan was. To me, it looks like you acted like a cop, but you're not one, haven't contributed, and have bad reads. Very confused.



 

axumblade said:

I've got my ears open if you'd like to go into details of those plans too.

That sort of defeats the whole purpose.

Linkzmax said:

Clyde32 said:

 Prof's analysis, while weak in some areas, provided a very good opportunity that I was hoping for. Some people responded to it right away, while others required additional prodding. One person who I noticed wasn't saying anything about it was Darwin, who I prodded by throwing a vote on to him. His reaction was quite good, and has a lot of cause for me to suspect him. In day 1 he claimed he read all the big posts and skimmed the small posts, yet from what I gathered he may as well have skipped Prof's analysis entirely. Final-Fan's reaction is a bit iffy. I figured a Darwin flip would help identify that though, considering I saw instances of FF trying to divert attention away from Darwin earlier in the game.

I think I may have stayed in too long, however, as Final-Fan suggested that Mr. P may have been trying out the same thing. Which leads to the back up plan I had that, once again, Prof provided a good angle for me to approach from. I've been high on the topics of discussion for the past 5 days. Any information that I could find is already out there that my flip would help others look for. 

Anyway I could go more in depth with this plan and two others I set in motion in the dead chat. 

[1] Would you care to address prof's post now and show which areas are weak?

[2]What do you make of FF being on darwin today?

[3]Are you saying your backup plan is the information town gains from your lynch? If so, seeing as you already know the result, where do you think town should go? Besides darwin of course.

You set two other plans in motion this game? Why not discuss as well as go further in depth about your plan now, while it's potentially useful.

[4]Lastly, I notice you have a lack of town reads.

[1] Bolded are my responses. 

theprof00 said:

Ok, so to summarize everything from day 1, he initially thinks a lynch day 1 is unlikely to be useful. He says that if stefl were a third party, it would be one of those exceptions where town gets an even better benefit (not a mafia, but better than a townie, plus info). His comments on MrP are on the fence. MrP might be or might not be scum. He didn't like MrPs response to pressure and HoS' him. He also FoS Baalz with a promise to look up info that he never followed through on. In defense of his lack of contribution, he gives an excuse that he talks without saying much as a personal fault (saying it's not alignment indicative). He follows up by saying that vanillas should contribute a lot while the power roles keep quiet. He later says when he has info, he will give it to us.

The Baalz situation was actually not meant for Baalz. It was meant for miz. At the time I didn't quite know who was who. After looking in to miz I woul dial back on that.

In his closing posts, he never once says that he believes MrP is mafia. He also said MrP's stance was clear when mrP said "why not" in reference to being asked about the suspects Axum or Stefl. Yet, in the very post MrP says that, Clyde quotes him and says, "However, I can't tell if this is a scummy play or just a noob mistake. I feel like a scum would have played this off better, but then I'm not sure how experienced he is in the game. It's definitely something worth applying pressure to. " This was actually the first post that Clyde latched on to by MrP. Clyde says he suspected MrP previously, yet he doesn't actually say anything until that "why not" post, which was called out by several people and looked indicative of a possible train lynch type of post.

 

Now, day 2 rolls along. Linkz says, "put up or shutup time clyde, what info do you have".
To which, clyde responds: "
To be quite honest, nothing. That was bait to see if I would be targetted by the mafia. "

What?

Don't know what's not clear about this.

Linkz follows up with, and your suspects are???
Clyde says, HoS on MrP still, and I'll FoS darwin too. He basically says he unvoted MrP because of Prof's defense that MrP wasn't the same meta as his usual mafia meta. He says MrP is likely to have learned and changed his gameplay, so an HoS is warranted.
Linkz correctly asks why Prof's defense of the personal meta was enough to unvote yesterday, but not enough today. He also asks what Clyde thinks of Prof and why on the FoS to darwin.

To be fair I don't actually remember Linkz saying this, but to answer this, Day 1 we had 5 minutes left. If I left the vote there then a lynch would have happened and we couldn't go back on anything. Day 2 we still had plenty of time to discuss it.
Clyde says: "
I usually reserve a FoS to someone I get a vibe from. HoS when I get something a bit more, and a vote for when there's definitely something to be found from that player. 
I think Prof is a very hard player to read. He's either a huge boon or a huge bane to the town. I will say that for how much he was throwing dirt on to Darwin, he didn't really cast a vote to seal the deal. "

As SOON as I said someone tried to kill me last night, Clyde says:
"
Hmm. Is it possible this game is like the Metal Gear game with a SK, Vig and Mafia combo?"

I'll reiterate this, it was literally a post I made in like 5 seconds in a spur of the moment based on wishful thinking on my part.

I said, "I'm 100% sure Clyde has a killing role"
Clyde's immediate response is, "T
rust me, if I was an SK-like role, I'd much rather keep that under the table then draw attention to it. "

What?

If the alarms aren't going off in your head right now, I don't know what kind of arguments you guys are going to need.

Then there's this post:

theprof00 said:
There isn't much else to assume?
Killer targets baalz.
Baalz targets me.

How in any world does anyone come up with a third killer unless they know they didn't target baalz?

The assumption came from the fact that you said you were targeted by a killing role but you weren't killed. If Mr. P is to be believed then that would make 2 BP-like roles in a game. 

If there were a lot of Bulletproof roles, we can assume that there are also a lot of killing roles. The last Chartz game I played was the Metal Gear Mafia game, in which there was both a Serial Killer and a Vigilante. 

Ok, so now we are also not including any potential protections like maybe a doc? What would be hard to believe about a supposed mafia BP MrP, and a doc protection? Not saying any of this happened or is fact, but it would seem like a possible simple scenario.

 

 

Anyway, the way I see it (TL:DR version)
Clyde goes day one saying a lynch is probably not good. He is wishy washy on MrP. His only argument to vote is because he may or may not be scum, and the info might be good. This was after Xander was modkilled so already one loss to the player pool.

The problem is you don't really take into account that, yes, I have been reading everything including the arguments for or against something. If I changed my mind on something I'm not going to go into the thread and say "Okay guys I changed my mind on this" 

He defends himself by saying he doesn't talk a lot.

Also to clarify on this bit, I'm more of a reaction type of person rather than an action. I usually only respond when spoken to directly and when I do I have a roundabout way of saying things.

And then on day 2 regrets that we didn't lynch, said he was hoping mafia would target him, called me a boon or a bane to town (like, wtf where did that come from), and then on my info assumes an SK.

I already said that the boon or a bane thing was misinterpretted.

 

I don't even know what else to give you for evidence. 

Right now, I am looking at anyone who suddenly and mysteriously started suspecting me on early day 2, which I would infer as reprisal for surviving a night kill. The two that stand out the most are my initial suspects from yesterday, clyde and darwin. They both suspected me today before I even said anything, despite not suspecting me a single time yesterday.

If I recall correctly, I was asked to give an opinion on you, so I said that, if you were mafia you would be a serious threat and if you were town you would be a great asset. 

 
And as I said earlier, I was chosen to die over anyone else, so maybe there was truth in my suspicions. These were both my main suspects other than stefl, whom I had let off the hook after a particularly nice assumptive reasoning earlier today (I believe I know his role).

So, I know you guys don't 100% trust me, but I trust me, and form the info I have, that is what I conclude. You can either choose to listen, or to ignore me and keep questioning me. I'll just leave the info and you can come back to it later once you do trust me.

[2] I think he's been acting a lot better on it. At the first of the day he seemed to be just prodding him but he started throwing him onto the lynchwagon. 

[3] Personally I think people who are tight-lipped about a major discussion. We've been having centralized discussions for most of the game. It's easy to see a pattern forming. As an example, I noticed Darwin wasn't commenting at all about the accusations toward me, I had to prod him to get anything on it.

[4] Sorry, I was placing those at the end of it for formatting purposes and when I went to make a paragraph before it I forgot to add them back in.

Three that I have a good town read on:
Miz, Axum, Linkz

Stefl acted very well under pressure during day 1.  

theprof00 said:
You say day 1 darwin said he read all the big posts yet seemed to skip profs big analysis, but how can you make an opinion like that on day 1 when I made that post on day 2?

I took note of the post on day 1, and when he pretty much skipped your analysis I went back to it. 



theprof00 said:
To me that post just comes off as, "people suspect me, but that was my plan all along".
So it was your plan to contribute nothing and hold all your cards to your chest? And basically be scummy?
Where was your contributions against darwin earlier? Where was your, "aha" moment?
You've basically only said that you suspect darwin, haven't done anything about it until you were asked specifically to put a vote down.
You say you suspect me as your second, which I find laughable, because now I think you're 0 for 2 as well as lurking. (Though darwin still may be scum. But looking less likely).

Well it wasn't my plan all along. It was something I adopted on day 2. I had another plan I was going for on day 1.

To be quite honest early on I hadn't taken many notes because I prioritized my survival over the victory of the town, which, in itself is worth a lynch. 

Also this is the third time I've even suggested you've done anything that wasn't 100% town and you've immediately jumped to accuse me.



My firing back at you has nothing to do with me, but that you've only suspected me or darwin or mrp. You said things about mrp all day 1, didn't vote until there was 4 votes on him. You said you regretted not lynching mrp and yet didn't vote the entirety of day 2 until you were asked to put a vote down. You literally sound exactly like darwin, with actions that don't mirror your thoughts. You've been wishy washy on everything, and the only other person you've even looked at is me.
Let me be clear, it's not that I'm defensive of your accusations. I could care less. Suggesting the only reason I'm jumping on you is because you're accusing me of something is misleading and disingenuous. I'm pushing you because your scum and it just so happens your points against me are part of my evidence. They could be about anybody. Like I've already pointed out in several posts about your suspicions of darwin and mrp.



Final-Fan said:

I am curious what you think of Clyde's plan.