We've seen countless NX prediction about what the console or consoles will be but we haven't really talked about what really matters - how much will it sale?

I think we can all agree that Wii U's poor software lineup, especially this fall, is a result of Wii U's poor sales and has made Nintendo shift their efforts to NX during Wii U's 3rd year. So how much should the NX sell in its first year to avoid having the same software drought and early abandonment?

First consider this defintion of NX:

Two models: a home console and a handheld console both under the same name released within the one year time frame or even the same time. Basically NX is two systems that has multiple forms.

So since we're predicting two systems' total sales, how much should they be before Nintendo pulls the plug early again for the NX2 or etc?

Or is Nintendo satisified with two systems models selling as one device (ex: 10 million combined sales in one year or 5 million home console and 10 million handheld sales in one year)?

*When I mean another Wii U, I mean poor sale numbers and software support

Whatever the Wii and DS did in their peak months.

How much it sells in its first year is really kind of negligible, it the subsequent years that really decide whether the console should be abandoned. They really need to market this thing though, strongly market it. Nintendo (as well as Wii) as a name isn't going to bring people in by the millions. Build hype, and you gotta do that consistently.

Big releases on Wii U have hopefully shown Nintendo that they could have made so much more money if the lineup year in and year out wasn't so freaking bare.

This may sound crazy, but anything less than 20 million combined first year would be a disappointment. Anything less than 15 million would be a disaster.

Nintendo can't have a slow burn on this one. If it's something like the PS3 or 3DS where it takes a year or two to get rolling, then the thing is dead in the water. This needs to be an instant smash hit. No middle ground this time around.

Would that even be possible with 100 dollar price tag and launched with a new ssb mk pokémon zelda?  O.o

No it wouldn't.

NX failure confirmed™

if they release both at the time they should sell at least more than 10 million !

As much as Wii + DS combined

Indeed, if this was a fusion, it should sell about as well as the home console + handheld

You guys are insane. NX does not need to hit peak Wii + DS levels.

If it shows itself competitive with the X1, it'll be doing about 3x better than the WiiU.