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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - If History Repeats Itself, The NX May Sell Less Than The WII U!

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Mr.Playstation said:
Super_Boom said:
Mr.Playstation said:

Ever heard of an outlier. That's exactly what the WII was, it was an outlier in a sense that the WII obtained the biggest casual audience any Nintendo console has done/will ever do. When carrying out an experiment, just because you have one outlier doesn't mean that suddenly the whole experiment shift towards that outlier but rather that it is quietly disregarded as something which had gone wrong in the experiment and shouldn't effect the final conclusion of that experiment.

 

Except the "outlier" here comprises 16.5% of your data. That's far too significant to just dismiss out of hand. This isn't just a few weeks here or there, it's an entire generation.

Like Rol said, you're basically just ignoring anything that isn't convenient to your claim. If you're going to compare this to an experiment, then what your doing is something known as 'fishing' for data. Which means that you're looking for data to match your claim, rather than the other way around.


There are various ways how to see this:

 

 1. You can do what I did and take the WII as an outlier and show that the trend of Nintendo console sales has constantly been a slope.

2. You can do what DarwianEvolution did and state that seeing thus trend one can also state that Nintendo console sales are dependent on the competition 

3. You can do what Rol did and state that Nintendo choosing an unconventional path with the NX will lead to a huge boost for Nintendo console sales.

 

The OP's content was my take on the data and the User's content are there take on the data. At the end of the day they're all correct until proven incorrect.

 

I asked a question at the end of the OP for a reason, I wanted to hear everyone else's take on the data.

 

Edit: It seems like the first line I wrote got combined with your post, just for clarity sake.

I know that I can't expect much from a sony famboy like you but at least try to be less of a hater.



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Soundwave said:
Super_Boom said:

Except the "outlier" here comprises 16.5% of your data. That's far too significant to just dismiss out of hand. This isn't just a few weeks here or there, it's an entire generation.

Like Rol said, you're basically just ignoring anything that isn't convenient to your claim. If you're going to compare this to an experiment, then what your doing is something known as 'fishing' for data. Which means that you're looking for data to match your claim, rather than the other way around.


I think it's fairly safe to say the Wii is an outlier. It was fuelled by an audience that simply doesn't really care for home consoles in the long run IMO. 

Good luck to anyone trying to get casuals away from their smartphones/tablets. Very unlikely to happen in the future. 

Nintendo was always out of their element making casual games anyway. While they can do it, it's like asking a master chef to make pizza for a bunch of 9-year-olds. I'm sure he can do it, but it's beneath his abilities and quite honestly the kids would be just as happy with a pizza from Pizza Hut or something. 

Nintendo are master game makers (yes their games are easy to pick and play but difficult to master); making games for people who are just as easily entertained by crap like Flappy Bird was always going to run into problems over the long haul. It was a marriage that was never going to last. 

Keep living in your denial, idiot. the wii was bought by the same househouds as usual, the difference is that it was played by more than just children and teens.



skullcracker said:
Soundwave said:


I think it's fairly safe to say the Wii is an outlier. It was fuelled by an audience that simply doesn't really care for home consoles in the long run IMO. 

Good luck to anyone trying to get casuals away from their smartphones/tablets. Very unlikely to happen in the future. 

Nintendo was always out of their element making casual games anyway. While they can do it, it's like asking a master chef to make pizza for a bunch of 9-year-olds. I'm sure he can do it, but it's beneath his abilities and quite honestly the kids would be just as happy with a pizza from Pizza Hut or something. 

Nintendo are master game makers (yes their games are easy to pick and play but difficult to master); making games for people who are just as easily entertained by crap like Flappy Bird was always going to run into problems over the long haul. It was a marriage that was never going to last. 

Keep living in your denial, idiot. the wii was bought by the same househouds as usual, the difference is that it was played by more than just children and teens.


lol.