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Forums - Sales Discussion - End of 2015 Sales Estimates

You can find the original estimate (for 2014 and onwards) here :

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=178341&page=1

and the update on 2014 Estimates here :

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=187926

The estimates were pretty much spot on, though a bit off for XB1 due to substantial reduction in price. Now, given the end of 2014 actual sales, below are the 2015 estimates, with updated data and parameters.

Summary, as end of 2015,

PS4 : 32.6 - 35.1 million

XB1 : 18.2 - 20.6 million

I tried to embed some graphs but it just would not let me and I couldn't figure out how to!

 

Size 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83
HD 0.84 0.84 0.88 0.88
PS4 0.626 0.723 0.626 0.723
  HD=0.82 PS4=67 HD=0.82 PS4=76 HD=0.88 PS4=67 HD=0.88 PS4=76
2013 4,430,139 4,430,139 4,430,139 4,430,139
2014 18,426,823 18,426,823 18,426,823 18,426,823
2015 32,618,276 35,104,701 32,234,712 34,697,238
2016 51,219,445 56,591,556 51,721,650 57,207,276
2017 71,309,575 79,798,362 72,768,454 81,519,168
2018 93,449,440 105,372,886 95,962,597 108,311,527
2019 111,845,402 126,622,700 115,234,558 130,573,236
2020 122,440,730 138,861,730 126,334,425 143,395,078

 

Annual PS4      
2014 13,996,684 13,996,684 13,996,684 13,996,684
2015 14,191,453 16,677,878 13,807,889 16,270,415
2016 18,601,168 21,486,854 19,486,938 22,510,038
2017 20,090,131 23,206,806 21,046,803 24,311,892
2018 22,139,864 25,574,524 23,194,144 26,792,359
2019 18,395,962 21,249,814 19,271,961 22,261,709
2020 10,595,328 12,239,031 11,099,867 12,821,842

 

Size 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83
HD 0.84 0.84 0.88 0.88
XB1 0.277 0.374 0.277 0.374
  HD=0.80 XB1=24 HD=0.80 XB1=33 HD=0.90 XB1=24 HD=0.90 XB1=33
2013 3,076,950 3,076,950 3,076,950 3,076,950
2014 10,969,957 10,969,957 10,969,957 10,969,957
2015 18,237,398 20,625,470 18,092,217 20,409,789
2016 24,890,735 29,609,028 25,062,380 29,821,135
2017 32,400,439 39,748,882 32,929,688 40,443,839
2018 41,250,260 51,698,207 42,200,930 52,962,179
2019 49,452,345 62,772,938 50,793,591 64,564,278
2020 54,707,293 69,868,343 56,298,773 71,997,560

 

Annual XB1      
2014 7,893,007 7,893,007 7,893,007 7,893,007
2015 7,267,441 9,655,513 7,122,260 9,439,832
2016 6,653,337 8,983,558 6,970,162 9,411,346
2017 7,509,704 10,139,854 7,867,309 10,622,704
2018 8,849,821 11,949,325 9,271,241 12,518,340
2019 8,202,086 11,074,731 8,592,661 11,602,099
2020 5,254,947 7,095,406 5,505,183 7,433,282

http://s28.postimg.org/4lqhn6dl5/Annual_Sales_Estimates.jpg">



Playstation 5 vs XBox Series Market Share Estimates

Regional Analysis  (only MS and Sony Consoles)
Europe     => XB1 : 23-24 % vs PS4 : 76-77%
N. America => XB1 :  49-52% vs PS4 : 48-51%
Global     => XB1 :  32-34% vs PS4 : 66-68%

Sales Estimations for 8th Generation Consoles

Next Gen Consoles Impressions and Estimates

Around the Network

My prediction:
PS4: 36.5m
XBO: 17.8m