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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will WiiU Be Down YOY this Q?! Down in Japan 237k, up in US 145k

 

Will WiiU Be Down YOY this Q?!

Yes 44 29.93%
 
No 72 48.98%
 
Unsure 30 20.41%
 
Total:146
tbone51 on 17 December 2014
danilomk said:
Sorry but... What does "YoY" mean ?


Year over Year.



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Eddie_Raja on 17 December 2014
Seece said:
Eddie_Raja said:

I said this would be it's peak year, and I said it will sell around 18m. Am I still crazy people?

18m is a good bet right now, would predict a little lower.

9m end of 2015 (assuming it's up about 200k over next few weeks). 3.5m in 2015 (12.5m), 2.2m in 2016 (14.7m), 1.4m in 2017 (16.1m), 1m thereafter (17m)~

Yeah in all honesty my pinpoint estimate I made a year ago landed on 16m, but I said 18-22m to give Nintendo the benifit of the doubt and to just be obtimistic.


That's what some Nintendo Fanboys don't get:  20 million LTD is an optimistic expectation.



Prediction for console Lifetime sales:

Wii:100-120 million, PS3:80-110 million, 360:70-100 million

[Prediction Made 11/5/2009]

3DS: 65m, PSV: 22m, Wii U: 18-22m, PS4: 80-120m, X1: 35-55m

I gauruntee the PS5 comes out after only 5-6 years after the launch of the PS4.

[Prediction Made 6/18/2014]

vivster on 17 December 2014
tbone51 said:

Its more of a release of games + potential price cut that would put it up. Lime i said in my reply to Seece, Tbis year had 2 biggest ips, but it only had 1 semi big game (and 3 other small ones). Next year has 1 huge ip but with about 7-9 games maybe more next year.

We'll see what a pricedrop can do but I'm not convinced that a bunch of medium games will push more consoles than 2 really big ones.



If you demand respect or gratitude for your volunteer work, you're doing volunteering wrong.

Seece on 17 December 2014
vivster said:
tbone51 said:

Its more of a release of games + potential price cut that would put it up. Lime i said in my reply to Seece, Tbis year had 2 biggest ips, but it only had 1 semi big game (and 3 other small ones). Next year has 1 huge ip but with about 7-9 games maybe more next year.

We'll see what a pricedrop can do but I'm not convinced that a bunch of medium games will push more consoles than 2 really big ones.

Same, those sorts of games do no push systems.



 

tbone51 on 17 December 2014
vivster said:
tbone51 said:

Its more of a release of games + potential price cut that would put it up. Lime i said in my reply to Seece, Tbis year had 2 biggest ips, but it only had 1 semi big game (and 3 other small ones). Next year has 1 huge ip but with about 7-9 games maybe more next year.

We'll see what a pricedrop can do but I'm not convinced that a bunch of medium games will push more consoles than 2 really big ones.


Its not about pushing systems like mk8, its more keeping the baseline up YoY. Look at vita for instance, a round of games per month kept it over25k weekly in japan but after that with small games and little to no releases it dropped to 15k weekly.

This year still had a drought. For comparison, DK was Feb and MK8 was May (the last day btw).

2015 has Kirby/Splatoon/Yoshi and XCX for japan and Captain Toad for Europe with a possible Mario Maker for Q2 and those unknown Project games (thoughi thinkthose will do terrible).



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Lonely_Dolphin on 17 December 2014
OfficerRaichu15 said:
actually I believe mario maker will be a bigger hardware pusher than mario kart 8 imo


Whut!? For the game to even sell anything it needs online which has yet to be confirmed. 2015 may have more games lined up but they're all niche except Zelda which isn't as big as Smash or Kart.



fleischr on 17 December 2014

I think the recovery of the WiiU in NA and Europe should make up the difference in Japan.

Smash WiiU, Just Dance 2015, Hyrule Warriors, Mario Kart 8 as well as Skylanders and Disney Infinity are all selling still quite well.



I predict NX launches in 2017 - not 2016

ExplodingBlock on 17 December 2014



Lonely_Dolphin on 17 December 2014
t3mporary_126 said:
I can't believe Mario Kart and Smash Bros didn't do anything for Japan this holiday season.


Then you must have forgotten how Smash was also released on 3DS! Naturally that was going to curb Smash Wii U's system selling power especially in Japan where handhelds are all the rage.



benji232 on 17 December 2014

Overall, it should be up YoY as I do believe (going by Nintendo's PR) that the last 1-2 weeks of November were great for wiiU (relatively) in terms of HW sales in America and perhaps to some extent in Europe. If they can carry over that momentum into December, I could see wiiU selling around 600-700k in December's NPD and perhaps around 300-350k in Europe which would compensate for the YoY decline in Japan.

However, I think that wiiU LT sales are pretty much set in stone to be around 15M units WW.



Predictions for LT console sales:

PS4: 120M

XB1: 70M

WiiU: 14M

3DS: 60M

Vita: 13M