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Forums - Sony Discussion - PS4 Launch Sales Predictions

 

PS4 FW Sales Predictions

>1M 67 21.47%
 
>2M 121 38.78%
 
>3M 62 19.87%
 
>4M 25 8.01%
 
>5M 10 3.21%
 
>6M 27 8.65%
 
Total:312

I said over 6 million because its the closest to my estimated 10mil figure...



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Anfebious said:
6 Million the max on this poll? Is it even possible that they have 6 million PS4 by the day it launches?


They expect to sell 5 million by the end of March. So all the numbers in the poll are crazy. Options should increase with 100k increments, starting from 1 million at the most.



Max King of the Wild said:
Fayceless said:

Where's the < 1m option? I know everyone's hyped, but no console has ever come close to 1m in FW sales. It's a supply/production issue. Even if they could ship enough units (they can), they won't. It MIGHT break 1mil but I highly doubt it. Realistically, 750k would be huge.


Sony has over 1mil in preorders and have stated they will supply more than that on launch.


Fascinating.  Record-shattering launch inc, in that case.  It'll be far less than 2M, though.  They won't ship them that fast - they'll ration the supply wisely to boost the console's image as a must-have, hard-to-find item.  And so they don't actually run out.



2.2 millions worldwide



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m

michael_stutzer said:
Anfebious said:
6 Million the max on this poll? Is it even possible that they have 6 million PS4 by the day it launches?


They expect to sell 5 million by the end of March. So all the numbers in the poll are crazy. Options should increase with 100k increments, starting from 1 million at the most.


starting from 1 million at the least... or... ending at 1 million at the most? You mixed something up.



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Max King of the Wild said:
michael_stutzer said:
Anfebious said:
6 Million the max on this poll? Is it even possible that they have 6 million PS4 by the day it launches?


They expect to sell 5 million by the end of March. So all the numbers in the poll are crazy. Options should increase with 100k increments, starting from 1 million at the most.


starting from 1 million at the least... or... ending at 1 million at the most? You mixed something up.

No. With "starting from 1 million at the most" I mean it should start with 800k, 900k, or at the most 1 million. I know there are at least one million preorders but that may include preorders from the countries in which PS4 isn't launching this year. So day one sales may not pass one million but if you add them up it will definitely be above one million of course.



michael_stutzer said:
Max King of the Wild said:
michael_stutzer said:
Anfebious said:
6 Million the max on this poll? Is it even possible that they have 6 million PS4 by the day it launches?


They expect to sell 5 million by the end of March. So all the numbers in the poll are crazy. Options should increase with 100k increments, starting from 1 million at the most.


starting from 1 million at the least... or... ending at 1 million at the most? You mixed something up.

No. With "starting from 1 million at the most" I mean it should start with 800k, 900k, or at the most 1 million. I know there are at least one million preorders but that may include preorders from the countries in which PS4 isn't launching this year. So day one sales may not pass one million but if you add them up it will definitely be above one million of course.

Oh, okay... that makes sense



Millions. Perhaps dozen of millions. Personally I think fifty.



 

 

 

 

 

haxxiy said:
Millions. Perhaps dozen of millions. Personally I think fifty.

I definitely agree, PS4 will be frontloaded. I expect a similar sales beheavior to GTA 5. Half of the total sales in the first week. 



let me see: 3 mil in first 5 hours + 2 mil in the rest of the day + 2 mil in the rest of week: 7mil


now OP: 900k WW



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