Normando said:
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I know you're skeptical, but take it from me.
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=148950&page=1
We have a prediction league for the last 10 weeks of the year.
Last year I was 5th out 39. My xbox prediction was 2 out of 39.
I think I understand the situation a little more than you expect me to. No offense, of course.
Plus, I've already had this discussion with Kowen before, last year in fact...(or maybe it was the year before?)
My argument at that time was that MS could have discounted shipments in preparation for a price cut or special deal before holidays.
Everyone argued that I was just wrong, or biased, or both, but lo and behold the very next week the contract deal opened up for all stores, basically confirming a larger than average supply.
This year we don't really have that. There is no reason for MS to offer any more deals. If anything, they want to sell 360s at regular price to offset or assist in any losses/costs that the One has created. I was right last time, and I'm pretty sure I'm right this time.
Add to that, the fact that Kowen has been keeping track of shipped vs sold for all consoles over this gen, and it becomes pretty apparent that 1.5m is an anomaly.
And not the kind of anomaly that your reasons seek to answer.
We're talking:
1. Price drop
2. Anticipation of massive increase in demand (possibly to cover xb1 shortages)
3. Some kind of massive new promotion
4. Ending production
Retail channels, lost inventory, etc etc just wouldn't cut it.
