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Forums - Sales - DFC Intelligence's must be a joke and here´s why (US forecast)

 

DFC Intelligence's new report forecasts more Xbox 360s sold in the US than Wiis by 2017, and the PS3 isn't even close

For as much talk as there was about the Wii in its early life, and the gangbuster sales the platform enjoyed for years, you might think that Nintendo's console is easily the winner of the current console generation. That may not be true in the end, at least not in the US, according to a new report from DFC Intelligence.

While Nintendo transitioned to the Wii U this past holiday season, Microsoft's focus still remains on the Xbox 360, and the 360 would appear to have a good deal of life left in it still. "Amazingly Microsoft didn't have to do much exaggerating as in its seventh full year on the market the Xbox 360 had a stellar performance. For its generation, the Xbox 360, not the Wii, will end up as the number one selling console system in the US," said DFC.

The research firm is forecasting that Xbox 360 will have sold over 46 million units in the US by 2017, while the Wii is estimated at just over 42 million. Sony's PS3, meanwhile, trails behind at 33.5 million.

"Shockingly it was in the later years of its life that the Xbox 360 really took off," DFC added. "The success of Microsoft and the Xbox 360 during the past two years highlights a radical changing of the guard in the game industry. Much has been made about a steady video game sales decline in the past three years."

DFC noted that while Microsoft excelled, Nintendo started exhibiting sharp declines, and the Wii U didn't help as much as hoped.

"In reality the decline has mainly been due to the aging console systems and more importantly because of Nintendo's collapse," DFC continued. "Unlike Microsoft, Nintendo has been in a major downward cycle, much of it self-inflicted. Nintendo's spin for the Wii U focused on how it made more revenue than the Wii at launch. Of course, the Wii was supply constrained at launch and sold at a lower price so that is not surprising. The reality is that many Wii U systems were sitting unsold on shelves at year end. Consumers love games more than ever but a new order of game providers is resulting in market shifts that are proving painful for Nintendo and other established game companies."

This guys are a joke, 360 is at 38m, selling 46m means it will sell 8m from now till then, nothing wrong with this but now lets see... 

Ps3 at 33m means they expect Ps3 to sell 10m till there outselling the 360.

What a joke.

Ps3 would be really lucky to hit 30m in the U.S.

http://www.gamesindustry.biz/articles/2013-01-14-xbox-360-not-wii-to-win-this-console-generation

 



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PS3 is just 5m from 30m, so i'm sure PS3 will sell 30m.

it all depend on the declines, and if price drops helps keep them from dropping ike rocks.



it sold 3m this year and will be down this year...

its at 24m.

i dont see 360 selling 47m either.



all i have to say is microsoft better have at least 3 million units available for november and december cause its gonna be crazy, i might buy 7 to sell at a profit.



if Microsoft drop the price to 129.99, which they should, it might do those numbers.



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Wii has 44.3M consoles sold in NA. 360 might win USA but it might not win NA in sales.



Wow you are pretty bad at this huh?

ps3 sold 3.5m this year, down 23%. Here are the skus
http://www.gamestop.com/browse/playstation-3/systems?nav=138d-c4-4f
still sitting at a 250$ price tag compared to xbox official refurb at 179 and arcade 199.

A price drop (which i don't expect to see until next year) would have held it at this number again, so lets just subtract 30%: 2.45m in 2013, total of 26m. Lets say 50% less the next year. 1.25, total of 27.25 in 2014. Then just three years to seel less than 3 million with 120$ of pricecut wiggleroom.

Reaching 30 is a pretty conservative estimate there, it's likely to reach 31 or 32...maybe not 33.5, but it all depends on when it sees a pricecut. Timing is everything. Perhaps a march pricecut with a may ps4 announcement.