Troll_Whisperer said: 61% of 54% is just a 33% voting for statehood. I don't know much of this whole process as I'm not American but if the referendum is not binding then I can see politicians using this as an argument against them joining. |
The whole process seems weird. Why break it up into two questions at all? Why not just ask:
Which do you want?
A -- No change
B -- Statehood
C -- More autonomy
D -- Total independence
It seems like in that case, A would have gotten about 46% of the vote, B about 33%, C about 18%, and D the remaining 3%.
But, apparently, that may not be what actually happened. These numbers have it that about 1.7 to 1.8 million total votes were cast in the election; "more than 900,000 voters, or 54%" voted to change the status quo on the first question. (By my calculations that would mean about 1.7 million voted on the first question).
One would assume, because of the way the questions were phrased, that only those roughly 900,000 voters would have responded to the second question -- yet evidently about 1.3 million answered it. So that 61% is actually 61% of 1.3 million, not out of the initial 54%. "Nearly 800,000" voted for statehood directly in the second question. About 510,000 combined for the other two options in that question, while "less than 500,000" abstained from that question entirely.
So, if we use a base of about 1.7-1.8 million voters, about 43-47% of them voted for statehood. About 46% voted for the status quo in the first question, while only 28-29% voted for the status quo 'by default' in the second question by abstaining.
We need more accurate numbers, and Puerto Rico needed a single, crystal-clear question. I wonder whether it's possible whoever wrote the questions wants the status quo to change in some way, and designed the questions to lead to that end. That would be pretty manipulative, but this is politics, so I wouldn't be surprised.