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I don´t want to spoil the fun but Biden has a guarantee to win the primaries because he has a massive lock on the black Democrats vote of nearly 60%, more than 5x that of Sanders who comes in a very distant second place with 10%, the rest basically doesn't exist. I don't think this is about policy but name recognition that nobody else has. With the high proportion of black Dems primary vote Biden has already won.

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3637

(60% of those who actually gave a vote went to Biden)

Last edited by numberwang - on 20 August 2019