barneystinson69 said: Things could get ugly if there isn’t a deal in place for a soft border in Ireland, and I have no clue how close they are to a trade deal with the EU. Honestly, it’s been a fucking disaster based off of my observations, but it’s not like they can call another referendum without pissing people off. Not a good look for the Tories. |
Miles away from a trade deal with the EU. Inf act, miles away from any trade deal with any country, Bexit negotiations, or more precisely the doctoring around the 585 page deal to get it through parliament, is taking up all the time right now.
fatslob-:O said:
On the other hand it could be a dream for the DUP since there will most likely never be a border poll in the future for Northern Ireland thus granting their and every other unionists wishes over there ... It hasn't been all losses for Britain. They most likely get to keep Northern Ireland forever and no more dealing with freedom of movement or a lack of an independent trade policy ... |
That's patently wrong. In fact, quite the reverse. They are forced to call a poll when nationalist parties win an election (start at 2:00 in the video):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XIJzc0FiVHA
Looks like it was pretty prophetic, half a year later. And as you can see in the Video, Nationalist parties are closing the gap fast. In fact, the 2017 election is the first one where Unionist parties total dropped below 50%
Even formerly staunch unionists are now thinking about leaving the UK and becoming part of Ireland::
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gBtuwSixYoE
If Nationalist parties win the next election in Northern Ireland, then they have no choice but call a poll, as they are obliged to by the Good Friday Agreement. The next election is in less than 2 months (May 2nd, same as in England), and I don't think the DUP will be able to win that one considering the voters seem to move away from them.
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