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Well, considering recent events, history may record Trudeau's fatal mistake as being not calling an election last year while the Conservatives were floundering around in the aftermath of Bernier's breaking away from the party.

As it is, about the best he can hope for to stay in power is if he wins a landslide in Quebec, and the NDP also take enough seats to make some sort of coalition viable. Which, oddly enough, I seem to remember happening to his father...