In progress NPD predicting tool

[Bofferbrauer2]

Sorry for not updtaing the ratios the last couple days. As a bonus you'll get four at once now, so enjoy

Hardware revision shares (Feb 13):

PS4:

Slim: 78*0.8+190*02+86= 186.4
Pro: 22*08+175*0.2+35= 87.6

Slim/Pro ratio: 68/32%

Xbox One:

S: 29*0.8+ 49*0.2+0= 33
X: 0+160*0.2+76+49= 157

S/X ratio: 17.4/82.6%

Slim+S 219.4/Pro+X 244.6

Total ratio: 47.3%/52.7%

Hardware revision shares (Feb 14):

PS4:

Slim: 74*0.8+185*02+90= 186.2
Pro: 36*08+165*0.2+39= 100.8

Slim/Pro ratio: 64.9/35.1%

Xbox One:

S: 43*0.8+ 58*0.2+0= 46.2
X: 0+170*0.2+80+32= 146

S/X ratio: 24/76%

Slim+S 232.4/Pro+X 246.8

Total ratio: 48.5%/51.5%

Hardware revision shares (Feb 15):

PS4:

Slim: 66*0.8+180*02+68= 158.8
Pro: 27*08+155*0.2+48= 100.6

Slim/Pro ratio: 61.2/38.8%

Xbox One:

S: 34*0.8+ 46*0.2+0= 36.4
X: 0+160*0.2+60+37= 129

S/X ratio: 22/78%

Slim+S 195.2/Pro+X 229.6

Total ratio: 46%/54%

Hardware revision shares (Feb 16):

PS4:

Slim: 78*0.8+160*02+40= 134.4
Pro: 16*08+115*0.2+35= 70.8

Slim/Pro ratio: 65.5/34.5%

Xbox One:

S: 37*0.8+ 34*0.2+0= 36.4
X: 0+155*0.2+31+30= 92

S/X ratio: 28.4/71.6%

Slim+S 170.8/Pro+X 162.8

Total ratio: 51.2%/48.8%

The upgrade consoles seem to outsell the base consoles most of the time, if not by much. Time will tell if that's just because of the Fallout bundle being 100$ off or if that's the normal ratio. Also, PS4 Pro sales are pretty consistently over 30% of total PS4 sales by now.

While the S is almost always under those 30%, we have to consider that the Fallout 76 bundle is 100$ off, so I won't call it a trend yet. Let's see the following weeks, as botht e S and the X will be 50$ off then, balancing the whole thing a bit more.