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Thus far we have Smash and Pokemon (spinoff) coming this year and Sony's forcast for PS4 sales are lower than last year so it will probably be down YoY this holiday. MS has not won a holiday season in a long time so i dont expect them to win any until maybe next gen. There is also a possibility that we could see Nintendo announce another big holiday game at E3.

I expect Smash and Pokemon to sell at least 12 million this year and I also expect the switch to be way ahead of the PS4 and XBO in terms of sales this holiday.