Intrinsic said:
Errrr..... no. Doesn't work that way. Unless of course you're just living out some kinda tech fantasy. Say in 2020 sony releases a console with the at the time 6-12 month old 7nm fab process. And say they have a GPU that is oushing say 12TF. If sony waits till 2020.... that doesn,t automatically mean they will be using some sort of next next gwn tech and be able to go from 12TF to 20TF. Just not possible. The most they get from waiting a year or two is that yeilds improve at 7nm chip foundaries which means they save money which could also mean that they could go with a slightly more powerful version of whatever they were workng on... either from uppping the clocks a bit (due to processs maturity) or adding a few more cores in there. So basically, they may go from 12TF to like 14TF/15TF at best. Or stick with the 12TF but release at a lower price point. Or release it anyway and make a killing at retail per console sold. And dont worry.... nothing will be able to outclass anything untill 3nm chips become available. Which could very well be by 2024-2026. |
I am talking 7nm vs 7nm+. If they launch in 2019 it will be extremely earlier 7nm parts that will have to make sacrifices to make sure the first units are sustainable, meaning they won't get the full benefits on 7nm. A 2020 release would have more stable fabrication, and allow them to up the clocks, and get more chips that are clean enough to handle the task.
By late 2021 or early 2022 7nm+ or 5nm if they decide to call it that will be available, and it will allow for some significant gains, and it will launch AMD's next gen GPU tech, which will be the foundation of AMD based graphics for years and years to come. This is absolutely the best time to launch, because they will be able to pair Ryzen, Next Gen, 64GB of RAM, and SSD, all techs that offer a next gen improvement over the PS4 tech. That will set them up very nicely for a PS5 Pro on 3nm.
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Kevyn B Grams
10/03/2010
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