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Ryng on 07 January 2018
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VideoGameAccountant said:

What I'm saying is Switch will outsell PS4 in Japan and US. Based on current trends, that's what is going to happen and because consoles are momentum based (first year determines later years). PS4 did reach 10 million faster but this is considering PS4 launched in November and Switch launched in March, and the difference was only a week. After its firs holiday, it's the fastest selling system in the US. Trend is in Switch;s favor. 

The PS4 has very strong sales in pretty much every markets.

The XBOX brand selling more in US is not a very good comparation imo. The 360 had good sales in Europe, but was dead in Japan and was selling very low in the rest of the world.

Overall, Nintendo is a mix of the 2. Nintendo does not good in every markets of the world like Sony does, but has not only one or two good markets like the XBOX brand has.

Nintendo does not good in small markets, which are pretty much dominated by Sony, however, in pretty much almost every important markets, Nintendo and this case Switch sells very good, this include:

 

  • Japan
  • United State
  • Canada
  • France
  • Germany
  • Spain
  • Italy
And many others. Also he does not always bad in every non important markets. Africa is a good example of this. The only big market where Nintendo struggle too much is the UK, but is a reasonable weakness which doesn't even matter that much when you do so good in the others important markets, expecially USA and Japan.

 

That said, people in this site keep talking about Europe, but that's surely not the main reason. I would like to remember that the DS outsold PS2 in a lot of important markets, yes, even Europe markets.

If we talk about Japan, America and Europe, there was no way for PS2 to outsell DS. The only reason why PS2 is over DS, is because other smaller markets, which in the end made the difference, indeed PS2 is over DS by a very slighly margin.

 

And to be honest, i think this is the case for PS4/Switch. America+Japan+Europe, no shit. Switch will most likely outsell PS4.

In Japan Switch is gonna sell 3DS like numbers, aka 25 million or more, PS4 will be lucky to sell 10 million (probabily less) , so >15 million gap in Japan are very likely. America (pretty much all, but expecially USA and Canada) will increase this gap even more, probabily to >20 million.

 

PS4 is not gonna outsell Switch by over 20 million in Europe. If PS4 outsell Switch, it will be thanks the rest of the word. People just underestimate way too much those markets, PS console many times sold 20/25 million in markets outside of America/Europe/Japan, which is not a tiny number, that's the real Switch challenge, not the Europe.

 

Well, of course better sales in Europe from Switch would help....

Last edited by Ryng - on 07 January 2018