Switch Sales Predictions: Open Your Eyes - UPDATE: Switch LTD Shipments Reach 111.08m by June 30th, Forecast for Current Fiscal Year Remains at 21.0m

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RolStoppable said:

UPDATE: July 31st, 2017

Nintendo's financial report provided updated figures for Switch hardware and its bestsellers by June 30th, 2017.

Switch - 1.96m for the quarter, lifting the LTD number to 4.70m.
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Switch) - 3.92m
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 3.54m
1-2-Switch - 1.22m
ARMS - 1.18m

Nintendo is on track to meet their hardware forecast of 10m units for the current fiscal year. During the past quarter Switch shortages have continued in Japan and the USA while easing up in Europe. It's safe to say that global sell-through has surpassed 4m and momentum will remain strong with the successful launch of Splatoon 2. My prediction of 8m sold through in calendar year 2017 will be easily surpassed, by how much has to be seen.

A variety of interesting links to VGC threads and predictions of analysts

A thread that discusses Switch's sales prospects. Can it beat the Wii? Thread created on May 2nd, 20

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=228172

A thread from October 2016 that declared that Nintendo is committing the same mistakes with Switch as they did with Wii U. Also, NX (a.k.a. Switch) is dead on arrival, written in June 2016.

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=221724
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=217447

Anfebious predicts lifetime sales of more than 100m units on May 24th. Nautilus predicted 100m right after the Switch teaser trailer in October 2016, a highly speculative thread because many important details about Switch were kept under wraps until January 12th, 2017.

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=228752
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=221705

On January 17th Michael Pachter predicted Switch sales of 1m units for the fiscal year ending March 2017 and a further 4m in the fiscal year ending March 2018.

http://fortune.com/2017/01/17/nintendo-switch-sales/

Following the Switch presentation on January 12th, a GDC survey among 4,500 developers had only 50% of them answer that Switch could beat the Wii U's lifetime sales. Apparently that qualified as optimism.

http://fortune.com/2017/01/15/nintendo-switch-wii-u-console/

On January 13th, our friends from Polygon wrote an article about the disappointment of Nintendo fans who were strongly considering to delay their Switch purchase until at least the holidays.

https://www.polygon.com/nintendo-switch/2017/1/13/14263186/nintendo-switch-lineup-wii-wiiu-3ds-comparison

Lifetime sales predictions for Switch, a thread created on March 30th, 2017.

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=227213

On July 8th Michael Pachter can see Switch selling 50m lifetime, but can't see 100m units because that would be 20m per year.

http://gametransfers.com/micheal-patcher-nintendo-switch-wont-be-as-successful-as-wii/

...

This concludes this quarter's update. The outlook for Switch has already become considerably more positive since half a year ago and at the time of this writing the vast majority of predictions and expectations have risen above 40m units lifetime.

thx Rol, really needed a good laugh this morning

Worst part is the logic behind some of these prediction, which under further scrutiny makes no sense at all