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I see your logic and I agree with you for the most part, but a January Pokemon reveal has happened before AKA Pokemon X and Y. They announced that early Jan with their own Nintendo Direct. And it's very possible Nintendo would want to push Game Freak to reveal Pokemon Stars at a time Nintendo needs it the most. Granted if they revealed Stars at the Switch event I only expect the logos or something very small like a teaser trailer, but its fine if they wait until E3 to announce it.