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Halo 3 had something helping it back then and that was a cheaper console and alot of previous PlayStation owners switching over which caused such huge numbers. Now Xbox isn't as popular like then and a lot of Xbox owners have moved back to PlayStation.

It'll sell a lot for sure but there are also a lot of other big games this year with Star Wars, fallout, cod that could take away a big chunk of its sales. Halo 3 didn't have competition like that back then.

I think a healthy 4.5-5 million sounds about right.