XBox One will beat the Wii U pretty easily once they get their hardware price down (same problem the PS3 had early on). They have the full third party community behind them and they haven't really released any of their big guns yet aside from Titanfall.
Nintendo has actually spent most of its big sellers ... of the top 15 selling Wii titles, most now have a sequel/equivalent on the Wii U already, especially now that Mario Kart 8 is out. Nintendo doesn't have very many cards left to play.
Smash Bros. will help but that will be on the 3DS too, which I think will split sales to a degree, but either way Smash is not as big of a franchise as Mario Kart anyway. Zelda is a smaller franchise than either one. Metroid, X, Bayonetta, etc. aren't doing any more for Wii U sales than DKC did.
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