Is Donkey Kong tropical freeze going to not break a million in sales lifetime?

[Mummelmann]

curl-6 said:

Mummelmann said:
Japan only? No, not 1 million, perhaps 500-600k or so. Globally though? Shouldn't be a problem at all, wouldn't be surprised if it sold over 1.5 million either, or even close to 1.8-2 million with the severe thirst for good titles on the system. Most likely though; 1.4-1.6 million.

Careful, you underestimated Pikmin 3. ;)

Careful? What will happen if I botch my numbers? Will you murder me in my sleep?

Pikmin 3 has me beat for sure; I said it wouldn't cross 750k and was wrong, by how much remains to be seen. I also screwed up most of my year end 2013 hardware predictions, but still kept them in my sig up until a couple of weeks ago.
I also feel like I say a lot of things that make sense (I've made some fairly well reasoned posts in the UNITY thread, among others), but it's all fun and games on an internet forum!

Anyway; I'm open to the idea that DK might sell in excess of 2 million, the 1.4-1.6 is just my most likely scenario, based mostly on my belief that the franchise has lost traction and relevance, not unlike Kirby, which dropped massively between the GB version and the DS version, despite the DS' superior momentum and installed base. Anything can happen, Donkey Kong could light up charts (or be a good long distance runner) and sell 3 million or it could be a "dud" and sell 1.2 million. Who knows?

I still stand by the 1.4-1.6 scenario as the most probable though and that the sheer mascot and franchise power of Mario releasing during the holidays somewhat blunts DK's efforts on the market in comparison.