Mensrea said:
platformmaster918 said:
Mensrea said:
Well the Wii would have done a little worse at the start, but not much. I think in the long run it would have outpaced the actual Wii. It might have gotten better third party, but who knows.
360 would have done much worse I think. 360 really benefited from the early launch, even if RROD was a pain, they got their foot in the door and used that to beat sony for most of the gen. If sony as you said came out with a cheaper model around the same time as the 360, I could see it putting the xbox brand away.
I think in this scenario: Wii 120 million lifetime PS3 100 million lifetime xbox 45-50 million lifetime. |
but PS3 is probably going to end up at 100m NOW so being cheaper and keeping more market from MS wouldn't change anything?
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Yeah, I don't see it making 100 million. Everyone says that, but I'm going to call bullshit.
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At the very least it's going to come close. It's already done ~5 million this year, so hitting at least 83-84 million after the holidays should be no problem. Then it'll probably drop to 6-7 million or so in 2014, which would put it at around 90 million (though a significant price drop could actually result in higher numbers). Another 10 million after that point is a completely reasonable estimation.
