| Soundwave said: I think the US market is basically going to be all about the PS4 vs 720 in the next five years with a side market of 3DS which is about 1/2 or 1/3 or what the DS used to do here. And even PS4/720 I think will be slow burn products with slow starts after the early adopters get theirs. |
Great analysis.
Like you said in an earlier post, the competition from mobiles and other forms of gaming is real. Patcher got flamed for it but he was right when he already 2 years ago said that mobiles would eat 1/3 of 3DS sales.
And home consoles won't go unaffected either. Whether it's competition from mobiles or PCs or something else we don't know yet, that will require further analysis, but undoubtedly there will be such competition that PS4 and X720 won't see anywhere near the same sales-numbers as current gen. I'm starting to get a little worried for PS4 and X720.
I believe we now can declare that Wii U is a parenthesis in console history. Nintendo is most likely already trying to design its replacement, although it's a difficult task.
Same with Vita, although that one will obviously never get a successor, since handhelds as we knew them will soon become obsolete.
