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There are some flaws in your prediction. First off, Europe is Playstation land, and PS4 will be the winner in that territory. Yes Nintendo will win Japan, but it won't be like the 3DS. Japan is more focused on handhelds, so even if Wii U is number 1, it won't be a huge advantage. America will really be the deciding factor. I don't know how PS4 will perform in America. That will be deciding factor.