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People have basically said what I'm thinking.  If it is going to be on top anytime soon it will be this next tracking week.  Even so it would be by the skin of its teeth.  The UK software numbers don't indicate a very strong hold for European sales.  Japan will add about 300k, but 360 sales are likely to be up as well.  Historically it seems to rise 10-20% this week.  That would put the 360 at 588k-642k.  If the European drop is anything like the US one it probably won't be able to reach it.  However the drop probably won't be quite so extreme since the European launch week was shorter and didn't include a massive shopping day.  If Europe is down 40% and USA stays steady than it probably won't take the week.  Its best hope is either strong sales in America or an uncharacteristically soft week for the 360.