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Every time a new console launches, it still gets beaten by the current gen. Possibly due to shortages. Possibly due to the lack of an established library. Anyway, Black Friday is always huge in North America and this is 360 territory. I suspect that, in terms of home consoles sales it will go:

360 ( 800,000 with Kinect hype dying down)
PS3 (510,000)
Wii U (500,000)
Wii (100,000)

And with portables:

3DS (500,000-800,000)
PSV (70,000)
DS (60,000)
PSP (30,000)

Now would be a good time for me to say that I'm REALLY bad at this and that I just pulled these numbers out of my ass.