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Considering the way it was implemented for 3DS, I fully expect us to be able to transfer games from one Wii U to another.

Considering the steps Nintendo has been taking recently to improve their online infrastructure, I expect Wii U owners to be able to do this without the first Wii U being present -- in other words, through the use of online accounts, in case the first console is accidentally smashed with a sledge hammer or something.

However, I'm not getting my hopes up for the ability to transfer games downloaded on Wii to a new Wii U. ...That's why I haven't bought any VC or WiiWare games in a while.