I wasn't saying that Blu-Ray was going to become a failed format, but it is way too early to say that it has "won" anything. Currently, Blu-Ray has seen a massive sales spike as everyone who bought a PS3 has picked up a couple of movies to try out their "Blu-Ray" player; a similar behavior (I would expect) happened with the PSP. Now, most of these people will not be buying Blu-Ray movies on a regular basis and (as more games come out) will probably be using their PS3 as a videogame system.
Over the next year movie collectors and the general public will be either buying HD-DVD players or Blu-Ray players and it could go either way. People could choose HD-DVD players because it is the least expensive way to have HD movies, or they could choose Blu-Ray because they believe the PS3 will force the format war to be over. In January 2008 we will either have a victor or it will be clear that dual format players will be the "winners".
Well I was trying to point out how this wasn't relevant. UMD's recieved a boost but nowhere near the level that blu ray is selling. Yeah you can get a standalone hd dvd player for $400 and Blu ray for $500 but the situation has changed drastically.
People aren't going to go and buy whats cheaper. They are going to need a reason.
As you can see from these list Blu ray releases far outnumber the HD DVD ones. THe studio support is starting to show its' muscle (obviously planned) and if you have even take a quick gander at any home video enthusiast site you would have seen many posts about die hard HD DVD fans purchasing Blu ray players.
Like I was saying the UMD was a novelty. Offered no new promises. The quality was not hd, you can only play it on a psp and as for storage it couldn't beat a DVD. Blu ray has been on the mind of AV enthusiasts and has won over converts. With the PS3 pushing quite a few owners to get a 1080p TV in some shape or form I highly doubt the blu ray is just a fad.