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Reasonable said:

But... at this point only Move would have word of mouth behind it due to the earlier launch, so I'm going to wait and see how these polls look once Kinect has been selling for a week or two.

True.. It could be like the PS3 and Wii before they launched.  There were probably a lot more people saying they would buy a PS3 and then the Wii came out and just snowballed.