Michael Pachter predicts PS3 will win this round of console wars

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Blue3 said:

HappySqurriel said:

Blue3 said:
Probably right. Wii lacks the hardware power for a good 5/6 year life cycle.

I don't see how hardware power has anything to do with how long a console lasts ...

The difference in quality of graphics and processing power between the N64 and Playstation was huge but the playstation continued to sell (and have Million selling games) years after the N64 was discontinued; following up on that the XBox and Gamecube both had processing power advantages over the PS2 yet had much shorter lifespans.

Certainly, the difference in processing power between the Wii and PS3/XBox 360 is very large but so is the price difference. Eventually (say 2009/2010) the Wii will probably be $99 (with Wii Sports) While Microsoft is still trying to sell the XBox 360 for $200 (or more) and the PS3 is $300 (or more); there are far more people in the world who are willing to spend $99 on a console than are willing to spend $299 on a console.

 

lol you cant be serious.  Even Nintendo fanboys should by now have accepted the fact that the reason for N64 failure was the dumb decision to use cartridges, Nintendos greed = cartridges = no 3rd party support = N64 failure .  While PS2 games stand toe to toe with anything on xbox or GC, no sane person can say the same about wii games and PS3 or 360 games. 

Why even buy a wii if a PS2 is half the price and has same quality games ? wont there be more people willing to spend $49 on a PS2 when $99 on a wii if its all about price ?

 

 

 

 

Cartriges had a lot to do with failure of N64, but there were also a lot more reasons behind 3rd parties abandoning N64. I agree that there would be people willing to buy PS2 in 2011, but PS2 will not have decent support at that time. Even the retailers don't sell it anymore at that time. 3rd party will eventually drop its support and so will Sony. If they want to gain sales for PS3, they have to focus on PS3 and moving existing PS2 owners towards PS3. Anyway, the console business does not work in the way, that they support old consoles. New ones have to be made that console manufacturers keeps selling consoles, because when certain penetration is reached, sales will drop because everyone that want's one, has one. The market can expand only to a certain point, unless something really new and interesting is brought to market, buzz, DDR, singstar and guitar hero are perfect examples. But they can't expand the same old forever without bringing new base to expand to market.